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Home ? Blogs ? Arcadia;s blog personal loan offices charleston sc Oregon, OR


Wed, 02/16/2011 - 23:24


Personal loan offices charleston sc Oregon, OR >>>































personal loan offices charleston sc Oregon, OR
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相关的主题文章:

挖宝地点:
(转自赵财德同志的文章)
中州501,690
中州 中州渡口旁那艘放弃的般附近76,525
中州 王城东北红松树最南真个一棵红松树下715:227 or 718,224
中州 通往海角村北面的那座桥的北桥头附近434,527
中州 王城城墙的西北角落467,87
中州 中州西北紫气东来的北面的两个巨石之间305,27
中部矿区64,141
北部断层47,30
北部矿区111,16
北部矿区28,123 OR 24 124
西部矿区 西部矿区通往南部断层那个门口的木桶边90,113
避难所 通往东部矿区的那个门口附近34,59
东部矿区 东部矿区西边那个大坪里那一堆木桶和木箱中间44,52
东部矿区 东部矿区到避难所 北部矿区挖宝坐标 24 124OR 28 123
矿石精选场 矿石精炼场中间那个大坪里5个成堆的木桶旁68,69
南部断层 落霞矿区南部断层木板桥下方那条铁轨最南端的尽头附近75,91 or 75 88 OR 76 88
南部断层 落霞矿区南部断层那座桥中间的土墩上面41:30
北部断层 落霞矿区北部断层那座桥中间的土墩上面47,30 or 48,30
百虫穴 百虫穴最南部的旅人附近157,369
盘蛇道 通往蛇之骸的门口附近235,293 OR 234,297
蛇之巢 通往蛇之骸的门口附近236,117
蛇之骸194,272
机关支路二 机关支路二通往中转厅一门口,那里有一个机关巨兽的残骸,残骸附近 66,188
机关支路二64,184 OR 66 188
仓库一 通往中枢大殿的门口,两堆木头中间56,24
四岔道 通往角斗场的楼梯口199,44
工坊大厅一 工坊大厅一通往机关道三的门口,那里有三个青铜兽雕像,最大的那个雕像附93,145
工坊大厅二 工坊大厅二下神工堂的那个楼梯口28,51
工坊大厅三 工坊大厅三下机关道二的那个楼梯口54,45
工坊大厅四 大厅最东部,四张床和一个圆桌附近121,69
盘旋通道二45,177
角斗场 角斗场军机令任务的那个铜人 129,120
角斗场 角斗场变身使者附近131,121
神工堂 神工堂通往工纺大厅二的门口`两个宏大的青铜兽雕象拱卫两边 185,197要正对门中间
天机堂 天机堂最南边二个青铜雕像之间 68,202 67,203
造化堂108,20 107,16
将军坟1层 将军坟一层最东部的小房间,最上角的兵马俑附近 468,215
将军坟一层468,245
将军坟二层 在将军坟二层最靠东面的角落379,225
将军坟三层 将军坟三层最北边的角落附近 199,33
将军坟三层 3层去将军殿的门口口152,167 or 151 166
叹息回廊 将军东叹气去悲鸣门口坐标160,296 OR 166,296
悲鸣长廊1将军坟东悲鸣长廊深处一个通道止境,三个埋着白骨的十字架附近170,70 OR 175.65
将军坟东二层 将军坟东二层通往叹息回廊的门口附近255,181
将军坟东四层 东四层通往东5层的门口附近123,156
将军坟东5层 将军坟东五层的奸商附近86,197
禁地红酒坛子旁191,328
禁地 禁地小村的木材商人对面屋子,盖着红布的酒坛旁边192,327 or 191.328
禁地416,188
生死门 生死门进结界门口的附近,最东面角落里184,63
结界禁地生死门进入结界地图,直走到底的符文附近120,24 or 116.21
落霞岛 落霞村西南方向竹篱的那个独一缺口195,258
落霞岛落霞矿区门口那块大石头旁473,407
落霞岛 226,240
热沙荒漠 到沙漠红名村阿正那里碰福气142,824
热沙荒凉 铁匠旁边的水井附近266,454
热沙荒野 热沙最北部的海滩162,135
西域奇境 西域衣服城后面的山包上435,103
西域奇境通天塔祭天旁小灌木旁134,83
西域奇境 西域奇境入禁地关口的那二个弓箭手之间597,611
跃马平原 沙城兵器店后面的水井边167,332
跃马平原 跃马平原孤单白叟小屋门口148,shanghai escort,603 or 408,603
跃马平原 沙城药店门口附近202,390
逆魔古刹3层 逆魔三层那个变身为军机令使者的弓箭手附近280,221
逆魔古刹4层 逆魔古刹通往太极阵那个门口边的小房间里某一个角落245.97
逆魔古刹4层 逆魔四层入口的斗室子里的一个角落148,268
逆魔古刹4层 逆魔古刹4层入口小房间角落136,280 or 136.279
落霞岛226,240
地下魔域五层211,29
地下魔域五层 地下魔城5层最东面有符文的柱子,地上有骷髅248,134 or 250 135
地下魔域五层, 地下魔城5层第一个路口往上的喷火怪兽附近198,61 OR 198 64
地下魔域五层226 388
地下魔域五层 地下魔城5层最西面有符文的石头附近20 164
地下魔域六层 地下魔域6-2的进口附近 336 90
地下魔域六层 地下魔域6 的入口的大石头柱子附近 99 250可能
地下魔域六层地下魔域6-2去心之魔芋的入口附近 155 134
地下魔域六层地下魔域6-1去心之魔芋的入口附近 195 196
地下魔域六层 最南边的性命之柱 226 388
地下魔域六层地下魔域六层的封印魔石前,奇怪的符文,好汉的尸骸197 26
铁血魔域 铁血魔城通往地下魔域四层门口的下面灯柱附近72,212挖宝地点:在楼梯旁边的灯盆附近
铁血魔域地下魔城4层进铁血魔城后2个火盆之间or铁血魔城去地下魔城4层的2个火盆之间74,212
铁血魔域113,93
炼狱魔境1层 炼狱魔镜一层最北部偏西那个角落134,64
炼狱魔境1层275,315
炼狱魔境1层 最西部的那个角落46,195
炼狱魔境1层 炼狱魔镜一层最东部那个角落345,208
炼狱魔境1层177,326炼
炼狱魔境1层 最北部偏东的那个角落259,67
炼狱魔境2层 炼狱魔镜二层,刚进门上面左边的第一个兵马俑四周26,207
炼狱魔境2层 炼狱魔镜2最北部的那个角落沿墙壁往左下方向走,在第一个打开的石棺附近192,47
炼狱魔境2层 魔镜二层下魔镜三层那个房间,旁边有个雅致的香炉231,249
炼狱魔境2层227 381
炼狱魔境2层 炼狱魔镜二层最东部那个角落379,225
炼狱魔境2层 最北部角落的一个兵马俑邻近201,36
炼狱魔境2层204,176 OR 202,172
炼狱魔境3层 炼狱魔镜一层进入炼狱魔镜三层后前面的那个青铜兽雕像附近有个机关61,68
炼狱魔境3层 狱魔镜二层进炼狱魔镜三层以后,沿着墙往上面走有一个机关巨兽雕象附近166,27
炼狱魔境3层 炼狱魔镜3层进4层的门口,三个铜锤手中间的那个附近 67,191
炼狱魔境3层魔境一层进三层后始终往前走,本周最具暴发力的6只牛股名单,在第一个十字路口往右拐路头有两队铜锤手雕像52,129
炼狱魔境3层49,190
炼狱魔境3层181,185
炼狱魔境3层 炼狱魔镜三回海岛的传送门附近坐标:121.125 or 120,128
炼狱魔境3层 从炼狱魔境二层进入三层后沿着墙向下走有个机关巨兽雕象附近的 坐标是222,81
炼狱魔境4层从4层入口往东南方向走,那里有颗奇异的树324,134
炼狱魔境4层 炼狱魔镜4层最南的处所,往西北方向一个良多白骨的池子旁边 195,373
炼狱魔境4层 炼狱魔镜4层往魔镜3层的门口,一个巨蛇缠绕的柱子附近288,97
炼狱魔境4层 炼狱魔境4层最北部有白蛇守护的点223,13
炼狱魔境4层 炼狱魔镜4层往魔镜池沼的门口,一个巨蛇环绕的柱子附近 195,272
炼狱魔境4层 炼狱魔镜四层最西部那个角落往东南方向走的第一个拐弯处85,312
炼狱魔境4层 炼狱魔镜四层最西部那个角落往东北方向走的第一个拐弯处78,179
炼狱魔境4层 炼狱魔镜四层最西部那个角落附近,有白蛇守护的那个点17,240
炼狱魔境4层 从炼狱魔镜四层通往魔镜沼泽的门口往东南方走那里有一个大柱附近215,297 214293
炼狱魔境4层216,406
炼狱魔境4层 炼狱魔镜4层回海岛的传递门附近348,286 or 344.284
炼狱魔境4层 从炼狱魔境四层通往魔境沼泽的门口,往东南方向走,那里有个大柱子215 297 附近
魔境沼泽 炼狱魔镜沼泽去往魔镜6的门口附近388.43 OR 389,46
魔境沼泽52,151
魔境沼泽 通往铁血魔城的传送门楼梯附近256,277
魔境沼泽 在墨镜沼泽回海岛的传送门附近55,44
魔境沼泽 魔镜沼泽白云谷大石桥中间那个柱子附近111,55
魔境沼泽 魔镜沼泽最东部的角落408,200
炼狱魔境6层 炼狱魔镜6层通往魔镜沼泽的门口59,60 OR 58 61
炼狱魔境6层28,30
炼狱魔境6层38,28
炼狱魔境7层14,51
炼狱魔境7层炼狱魔镜7最西面的角落里16,49 or 16,51
炼狱魔境8层70,168
炼狱魔境9层连于9层回8层的传诵门,上边盘龙柱子附近左边145 241附近OR 143 239
炼狱魔境9层243,119
炼狱魔境9层到魔境八层的传送门附近141,248
炼狱魔境9层213,205
炼狱魔境9层261,130
炼狱魔境9层 墨镜9通往墨镜6的传送门的坐标是:207.192
炼狱魔境9层 通往6层的传诵门附近,沿着墙壁往下走的拐角附近191,beijing massage,181
炼狱魔境9层203,192
炼狱魔境9层248,104
炼狱魔境10层 最北边的角落197,26
炼狱魔境10层226,388
精细宝箱任务:
(转自琼琼同道的文章)
要接这个任务,需有任务物品精密宝箱,有了精密宝箱可以从天涯村的铁匠开端触发.依照铁匠的提醒,可以持续开5道锁从而得到应有的嘉奖.
mm 一开二是在海角村的铁匠.
mm 二开三是在西域的铁匠或者魔镜三层的铁匠.
mm 三开四是在魔镜沼泽的铁匠.
mm 四开五是在魔镜四层的铁匠.
mm 五开是在魔镜七层的铁匠.
至于开箱子的时候遇到的小游戏,一共有5种.只有按他请求过关,才能得到箱子.
1.杀僵尸竞赛.这个没什么好说的,眼疾手快.若是有人来抢就去招宝宝.虽然用途不大,然而到了紧要关头碰到了高手就是差那么1、2只僵尸的时候也有.若是常常被人抢,倡议去招跑的快的宝宝,比方:圣甲虫、滚刀手==.提议将宝宝放在你加入僵尸比赛的屋里,用着的时候拉过来,别一直拖你后边,那样遇到蛇妖王那关就全逝世光了.法师用地雷+冰咆.羽士用火咒+宝宝.打的时候沿舆图边沿转.让宝宝在中间打.缓缓把搜寻圈缩小.要是切实不行,叫你友人在铁匠那等着帮你吧.
2.虚实魔王.这个须要留神的就是别被秒了,尤其是法师,进去就像掉进了毒罐子.重大的时候"你中毒了!"会刷屏.这个游戏里有8个小房间,房间中间是魔王,魔王附近有只魔眼,屋门口是机关巨兽.可以设想一下兵士打多灾了.假的还行.真的袭击可是超级高的,加上中毒,秒是很有可能的.我穿幻魔套是366血,若是中着毒不开盾一下打我350血左右.很屡次打的我跑都跑不起来.总体来说,这个游戏算是比拟轻易的,而且破费时间起码.
3.樟碍跑.我想说的是,shanghai massage,这个游戏你跑好了是最容易的,beijing escort,跑不好却是最难的.我的经验就是你沿着边跑,不要跑中间,那样老被推.里边有3种模式,(1)只有小鬼+淘气小鬼.(2)魔甲虫+俏皮小鬼.(3)魔甲虫+淘气小鬼+机关巨兽.这个战士比较难跑.法师次之.道士最容易,由于有宝宝帮.若是掉进2个淘气之间,有时候连动都动不了.这时候就把你豹子弄出来挡住自己.
4.蛇妖王.瞎话说这里的蛇妖王攻击很低,法师开着盾顶3只蛇妖王只吃红也能顶住.这里边有3种攻击咱们的方式.(1)蛇妖王的冰击波.蓝色的(2)蛇妖王4t4规模的冰冻.白色的(3)
地下冰刺.这个地下冰刺是攻打最高的,尤其是你等时间到了当前往那个NPC点击出去跑的时候,一被冰击波冻住,冰刺就会从你脚底下钻出来.不开盾的话法师被2个击中就OVER了.所以到了时间,必定要先开盾再跑.
5.记忆比赛.这个真实 未审没什么说的,模式一需要记一下.俗话说"好头脑不如烂笔头"记一下就好了,出5批怪物,只记2.3.4就可以了,他不会发问1和5.模式二打着记就可以了.
武馆积分的用处:
做精密宝箱任务、挖宝任务等皆可获得武馆积分.
依据积分的累积情形取得绝对应的名称,称号从低级到终级共分为7档.凭对应的排名,玩家每周都能够从武馆教头处领取金币薪酬,最高可每周领取140万传世币.并且随着排名的回升,还可以得到平时杀怪的额定教训加成.积分会跟着时间散失而减少,所以要多赚积分能力坚持本人的排名.
玩家的排名跟积分可在中州武馆教头处进行查问,每周统计一次.详细设置情况详见表格:
称号 需要积分 需要排名 每周可领取薪酬 杀怪经验加成
一代宗师 700 1-50 1400000 u
超群绝伦 600 51-100 1200000 u
融合贯通 500 101-150 1000000 u
后来居上 400 151-200 800000 u
轻车熟路 300 201-250 600000 u
略有小成 200 251-300 400000 u
初级学徒 100 300-350 200000 u
注:领取金币薪酬时,只有排名进入前350名的玩家方能得到到金币薪酬及杀怪的额外经验加成.另外武馆教头只显示前50名玩家的排名情况.其余玩家可以通过点击"查询排名"输入自己姓名的方法来进行查询.
藏宝图任务
藏宝图任务:
玩家可通过毁灭怪物的方式来获得藏宝图.得到藏宝图后,可通过中州的太史令来解读藏宝图,获知藏宝地点,并以指定的方式挖出宝藏.宝藏同样在太史令处打开,打开这些宝藏不仅能够得到大量金币、经验、各类装备,还有相称数量的极品修炼值,更可能获得极品道具、超级装备(神武、天玄、幻魔)、修罗神技hh
玩家在传奇世界的多个地方都可打到藏宝图:死水沼泽、通天、焰火屠魔地图、铁血魔宫、炼狱、逆魔古刹等地图.但因为年代的长远,这些古老的藏宝图早已破旧不堪、含混不清,令人难以解读了.
位于中州的太史令(坐标:480 155),可能看懂藏宝图,并且会给拿到藏宝图的壮士,讲述藏宝图上的动听故事,勇士们必须根据故事中提到的藏宝地点大抵范畴,来探索准确的藏宝点失掉宝藏.
这次得到的是一份单人藏宝图!也就是说,只有藏宝图的持有者才有资历去挖出这个宝藏.接取任务后,需在划定时间内找到宝藏.在任务日志中会有相干阐明,也可以通过任务日志废弃任务.
挖宝正式开始,须在太史令鉴识藏宝图后的二小时内按藏宝点挖出宝藏-"远古石盒".这古朴的石盒,不知是何年何月被人埋藏于地底.
挖宝方式:找到正确的藏宝点,站在藏宝点上按住"Alt"键,并于点击鼠标左键,即完成挖宝的动作.但只有接过挖宝任务的人,方可成功挖取到宝盒(远古石盒).
固然挖到了宝藏,但要想打开这个远古石盒,同样离不开太史令的赞助.再次找到中州太史令(坐标:480 155)打开这些宝藏不仅可以得到大批金币、经验、多种装备,还有相称数目的极品修炼值,更可能获得极品道具、超级设备(神武、天玄、幻魔)、修罗神技hh
相关解释:
如何挖宝:
找到准确的藏宝点,站在藏宝点上,按住"Alt"键,并于点击鼠标左键,即实现挖宝的动作.但只有接过挖宝任务的人,方可胜利挖取到宝盒(远古石盒).
单人挖宝:
假如得到的藏宝图为一般藏宝图,找到太史令,并点击"解开藏宝图的机密",太史令辅助玩家将藏宝图打开,给玩家一张"已开藏宝图".已开藏宝图的有效时光为两小时,玩家必需在两小时内达到藏宝点挖出宝藏,才干得到宝盒(远古石盒).得到宝盒后,回去找太史令点击"帮我翻开宝盒",即可拿到宝盒中的宝藏,此义务仅需单人即可.
竞争挖宝:
竞争挖宝同单人挖宝相似,但要多出竞争的乐趣.找到太史令后,则太史令会讯问是否乐意参与竞争挖宝.不管接收任务仍是放弃任务,太史令都将收走玩家身上的竞争藏宝图,并且红字布告所有玩家:某某范围有宝藏,激励所有玩家来接任务介入竞争挖宝.其余玩家也可于太史令处,领取此竞争挖宝任务.参加竞争挖宝的玩家,在两小时之内,第一个到达藏宝点挖出宝藏,则可得到宝盒(远古石盒);后面的玩家无奈得到宝盒.第一个挖到宝盒的玩家回去找太史令点击"帮我打开宝盒",即可拿到宝盒中的宝藏.此任务宝盒一旦被某位玩家挖出后,即宣布任务停止,其余玩家将无法再获得宝藏.
注意事项:
1、如果挖宝进程半途离线,只有不超过指定的时间限度,则仍然可以持续挖宝.
2、"已开藏宝图"、"远古石盒"不会因死亡而掉落,并且不可交易、抛弃、摆摊和存仓.

地王频现、房价猛涨、频繁加息……2007年,京城楼市渡过了不安静的一年.本次年初清点的开篇专稿选取了今年京城楼市最热点的10个要害词.
住房保障 <> 住房保障是今年最能体现民生、受一般民众关注度最高的一个词汇,也是当前政府工作的一个重点.住房保障轨制的一直完美与落实,是政府为低收入艰苦家庭所做的一大实事,也是保障体系与市场机制逐渐实现并行不悖模式的一大体现,深受普通民众与房地工业界欢送.略有争议的问题在于保障的范畴.依据现行政策,保障性住房仅包含廉租房与经济实用房,特殊是对可购经济适用房人群收入的划定有较低之嫌,未免使一局部人发出"严厉合乎尺度的人未必买得起房,而买得起房的人又不契合标准"的感叹.虽有两限房撑腰,但对于那些位于收入规定界线边沿的人群来说,购房还是一大困难
地铁<> 表面看来,地铁和房子真实 未审有些不沾边,冲上1号观景台,怎么能纳入地产风行语的范围呢?其实原因就在于,近来,但凡沾地铁边的房子都卖得热气腾腾.当然,这里的地铁概念还包括城铁,没准当前还要纳入城际特快列车.凡沾地铁边的屋子都好卖,这已经成了各界的共鸣.间隔地铁出口1000米以内的房产名目都大概要打上一张地铁牌,做作,再远点要想打也能打.这张牌不仅开发商爱打,广告商更爱打,不仅卖房子时很重要,选地时更主要.不少线路未修之前,周边房价已炽热,一旦开始动工,房价涨幅更加翻倍.世人都盼望地铁能带来方便的交通,都愿往地铁周边扎推,但架不住人多.放眼一看,地铁已不堪重负.
限外<> "限外"一词近来出现频率仍旧较高,shanghai escort,与当前海内房地产市场乃至经济局势的整体情况有关,天然也离不开外资的虎视眈眈.实在,资本老是流向获利高的地方,这是经济法则.于是,咱们就说,外资想进来也不是不能够,只有吻合政策跟法律法规.有关部分频频强调在房地产等一些特定范畴限外,政策的起点其实是好的,也起到了必定的缓解与稳固作用.只是凡事都有利有弊,政策能挡住的其实只是一部门外资,至于丧失的税款,则不能斟酌了.
增值税<> 追缴土地增值税的事件,曾一度让良多房地产企业恐慌.土地增值税一度曾因盘算方式绝对庞杂等起因,简直遭致废置,而今再度被提上日程,也是受大势影响.土地增值税的缴纳,不仅可为国度增添税收,也可减少土地囤积,加快增进土地的开发应用.因此,作为一项有力的调节工具,土地增值税在现阶段能起到的作用,其实还有待进一步的发掘.当然,土地增值税如何与其余税种进行连接,防止反复纳税也是值得考虑的问题.
加息<> 一年内数次加息,加到庶民司空见惯加到媒体一到周五就缓和兮兮,不仅得提前做好筹备,还得搜肠刮肚、处心积虑想些新的角度.专家说,加息还有空间;官员说,不消除加息的可能.购房人说,买不起房,还不起贷款;银行说,来吧,用我的新利率产品.<>事实上,对于加息的办法,同意之音或质疑之音都是可以懂得的,究竟它原来就是一把双刃剑.
限价地<> 早在去年,两限房这个新名词就开始被北京市民广为热议,理由无外乎在不断飞涨的房价下,两限房提出了要比周边房价廉价10%—15%的口号.截至目前北京市共成交9块两限房用地,分辨位于西三旗、花乡、金顶街、清河小营、东铁匠营、常营乡和通州半壁店.而行将发布成果的小屯地块也将以7300元/平方米的价格刷新之前的最高售价.地块在不断推出,beijing massage,但令市民着急的是这两限房的销售政策还未断定,到底谁有资历买,将以怎么的情势销售,目前还不得而知.
有价无市<> "有价无市"顾名思义指的是在名义价钱一片繁华的情况下,成交价格却远远达不到"标价".有价无市象征的是一种泡沫经济,拿到今年的楼市来说就是楼市显现着一个个或大或小的泡沫,在房价不断看涨的情况下,实际成交情形和价格却并不如大家设想的那么美妙.进入11月中旬,北京、上海乃至广州、深圳等一线城市,楼市价格都水平不同地出现了"有价无市"局势,使得2007年以来扶摇直上的房价开始局部松动.尤其是被称为全国楼市价格风向标的上海,成交量急剧萎缩.令人迷惑不解的是,开发商们宁肯变相打折、降价,也不肯实切实在的告知购房人降价的事实.
拐点<> 有关楼市拐点的争论近期此起彼伏.而媒体有关深穗房价降落的新闻就像一根导火索,点燃了人们对楼市拐点的料想.有人以为,楼市拐点已经到来,深穗房价降低就是这一拐点呈现的预兆.也有人认为,深穗房价下降只不外是楼市涌现的一种部分的调剂,楼市总体上来说仍处于回升通道.公说公有理,婆说婆有理,一时难分高低.拐点原指数学上转变曲线向上或向下方向的点,借指事物的发展趋势开端改变的处所.有关房价拐点的争辩在自2003年此轮房地产调控开始以来就未间断段过,然而,购房者在所谓的拐点说中盼来得却是房价的连续上涨.历次拐点断言的一呼百应颇值得深味,它折射出的或是大众对公道房价的急切诉求.
小产权<> 产权本无大小之分,所谓小产权,或是群体产权,或是无产权,总归是不具备法律所维护的产权身份.如斯一种状况,本该乏人问津,beijing escort,却反在事实中层出不穷,还颇受一部分人的认可.究其本源,有人说是现今房价涨得过快、过高的结果,迫使人们不得不花较少的钱去买这些并不标准的房,可实际上取舍二次置业购置小产权房的大有人在,说到底,仍是一种"法不责众"之幸运心理在作怪.小产权房并非今蠢才有,从早先的唯恐避之不迭,到现在的纳入可抉择规模,购房众人的心态变更可见一斑.
房价<> 房价兼具着天使与魔鬼的双重身份,是楼市永恒的话题.持续上涨显然成为今年房价的最佳定语.任凭所谓的有识之士声嘶力竭的预言、预言、再预言,shanghai massage,听凭抑调控组合拳多重出击,房价仍如脱缰之马敏捷上窜.面对高涨的房价,堪称"几家欢喜多少家愁,各怀心理直挠头".所幸的是,政府正逐步增强廉租房、经济适用房的建设,跟着工程建设的推动,中低收入家庭的住房保障将有望得到进一步改良.

跳出"周期率"
mm我对中国近代史的一点见解 [未删节版]
傅国涌
[此文在《社会迷信论坛》发表和收入《历史深处的误解》一书作为"代后记"时都有删省,基础上玩家不须要调换本人的宠物mm事实是,这是原文.]
成王败寇、"窃钩者诛,窃国者为诸侯"的逻辑支配了中国至少几千年,以暴易暴、周而复始的历史从未改变过.1945年7月抗日战斗行将结束,黄炎培有过一次延安之行,曾和毛泽东作了一番著名的窑洞对话mm
有一回,毛泽东问我感触怎么?我答:
我生六十多年,耳闻的不说,所亲眼看到的,真所谓"其兴也浡焉","其亡也忽焉",一人,一家,一集团,一处所,乃至一国,不少不少单位都没有能跳出这周期率的支配力.hh一部历史,"政怠宦成"的也有,"人亡政息"的也有,"求荣取辱"的也有.总之没有能跳出这周期率.中共诸君从从前到现在,我略略了解的了,就是生机找出一条新路,来跳出这周期率的支配.
毛泽东答:咱们已经找到新路,我们能跳出这周期率.这条新路,就是民主.只有让人民来监视政府,政府才不敢松散.只有人人起来负责,才不会人亡政息.(黄炎培《延安归来》,《八十年来mm黄炎培自述》,文汇出版社2000年版,204m205页)
五十八年后,重温窑洞对话,跳出历史的"周期率"还是一个未实现的标题.当历经世变沧桑的黄炎培在延安提出这个问题时,他曾亲眼目击清朝倒台、共和肇建、袁世凯称帝、军阀混战、蒋介石政权在血泊中浮起hh从"其兴也浡焉","其亡也忽焉"的大量事实中,他总结出的历史"周期率",无疑拥有深刻的洞悉力,但他对造成这一"周期率"的原因所作的剖析却远远不够.他说:"大凡初时目不转睛,没有一事不必心,没有一人不卖命,兴许那时艰苦困苦,只有从万死中觅取终生.既而环境慢慢好转了,精神也就匆匆放下了.有的因为历时久长,做作地惰性发生,由少数演为多数,到风尚养成,虽有鼎力,无法扭转,并且无法补救.也有为了区域一步步扩展了,它的扩大,有的出于天然发展,有的为功业欲所驱使,强求发展,到干部人才渐见竭蹶、艰于敷衍的时候,环境倒越加庞杂起来了,把持力不免趋于软弱了."(同上204页)他所想到的原因都是人治方面的,也就是他自己概括的"政怠宦成"、"人亡政息"之类.毛泽东自称找到了跳出"周期率"的"新路".遗憾的是,黄炎培对此坚信不疑:"我想:这话是对的.只有大政方针决之于大众,个人功业欲才不会发生.只有把每一个地方的事,公之于每一个地方的人,才干使地地得人,人人得事.把民主来打破这周期率,怕是有效的."(205页)何况,他的延安之行真正算得上是浮光掠影,并没有看到延安的真问题,所以他才会说:"延安五日旁边所看到的,当然是距离我理想相称近的."(同上)
其实,即使就"民主"这个词来说, 在汉语中就容易发生歧义,它往往是与站在"民"的另一面、至高无上的"主"们所提出来的.中国向来不乏"为民作主"的传统,从明君到清官都怀抱民本理想,"民主"至多只是君主、圣主对人民的赏赐,而缺的偏偏是人民自主的观念.黄炎培当然读不到1943年6月6日毛泽东批评彭德怀民主观的那封信,不晓得"民主"对毛泽东和 *** 而言只是一个旗号、工具、手腕,既是和国民党争天下的有力兵器,也是诈骗、麻木知识分子和广大青年的漂亮幌子,shanghai escort,王实味洞穿了其中一二即遭灭顶之灾,延安是不容批评的.他更没有想到,毛泽东心目中的"民主"完整有可能只是"为民作主",beijing massage,相似于历史上圣君明主的纳谏、亲贤人、远君子,与真正的民主并不是统一回事.所以,他才会轻信毛的许诺,以为 *** 真的要搞民主,跳出历史"周期率"的支配,防止"人亡政息"的覆辙.
民主,多少人借你的名义!有人借你粉墨登场,有人以你作为自己独裁的装潢品.专制主义打着"民主"的旗号可以说史不绝书.以中国专制泥土之深沉,民主观念之单薄,要跳出这"周期率"又谈何轻易.毛泽东早在"七大"的口头讲演中就明白说,"开国以后,掌握政权以后,我们的奋斗对象就是民主人士了."(《21世纪环球报道》2003年3月3日,李锐专访)可怜那些倒向"左"或被蒋介石逼向"左"的知识精英们对此一窍不通.历史真作弄人.

一部近代史就是民主与独裁重复较量的历史,专制始终阴魂不散,民主至今仍捷足先登,老是无奈摆脱兴衰成败、周而复始的轮回运气.要走出历史"峡谷"、跳出"周期率"真是步履艰巨,搬动一张桌子也要流血啊!其中起因诚然有良多,要其大者无非是这样几条,在上者毕竟难以解脱"打山河,坐江山"的传统心态,打不破"普天之下,难道王土"的无穷权利模式,在下者难以从帝王崇敬情结中解放出来,君不见仲春河之类的"帝王小说"系列,帝王、宫廷影视剧大行其道,大有市场,即使张艺谋鲜廉寡耻、向暴君谄谀的《好汉》片子也有伟大的票房效应.言传身教,一方面有什么样的轨制就有什么样的人民,一方面有什么样的国民也决议了会有什么样的制度,一句话,"天子梦"在中国远不做尽,至多换了一种情势、一个名称.中国传统文明的大局部说穿了也只是为帝王服务的文化.两千年来,作为民族灵魂的常识分子从精神到灵魂都是扭曲的、跪着的.即便其中的优良分子也走不出"屈原人格"的暗影,"第二种虔诚" 总是在他们心头萦回不去.屈原"忠而不见信",保持直言敢谏,不惜失去官位甚至性命,尚有人格可言,只管愚忠算不上独破的古代人格,但与所有苟活者不可同日而语.至于蝇营狗苟之徒,媚上、势利,热衷功名利禄,依靠势力等等,所在多有,那就更加等而下之了.恰是他们在昼夜复制着为帝王服务的文化.
从"屈原人格"到"蔡锷人格"穿梭了二千年时间的地道.蔡锷起兵反对袁世凯称帝,绝不争个人权位,而是"为国民争人格",以三千羸弱之卒抗袁氏十万大军,毫无害怕.功成身退,实践承诺,决不迷恋."蔡锷人格"为近代中国建立了一座遥不可及的丰碑,惋惜那只是空谷足音,前不见古人,后不见来者,念天地之悠悠,独沧然而涕下.
在蔡锷诞生前三十多年,一场起自偏远的广西山区的急风暴雨式的农民暴动,打着"太平天国"的旗帜席卷了大江南北,震动了全部华夏大地.拨开覆盖在洪秀全他们头上的神圣光环,我们发明洪秀全也好、杨秀清也好,这些二心要在世间建造"天国"的人们,树立的到底是谁的"天国"昭然若揭,所谓"天国"只不过是他们个人穷奢极侈、享受荣华富贵的安泰窝,而对宽大百姓来说同样是地狱,甚至比满洲人治下的地狱还不如.他们的作为经常让我想起土谷祠中阿Q的"革命"梦,低微的阿Q也想"革命",但他 "革命" 的目标很明白,就是为了吴妈、"秀才娘子的宁式床"hh,女人、财帛这就是他全体的追求.在实质的意义上,一切农夫造反者,成功的或失败的,从洪秀全到欲造反而不得的阿Q到毛泽东都是一致的.他们的追求是由他们身上的文化基因决定的,他们不可能给古老中国带来新的文明因子.
如果说有变化,那么变化是从康有为、梁启超他们开始的,1895年,13岁的少年蔡锷考中秀才的时候,康有为们已经在北京筹备"公车上书",提出变更的请求了.三年后,维新运动热气腾腾,康有为活泼在北京新政的舞台上,16岁的蔡锷徒步跋涉,从故乡湖南邵阳来到省会长沙,考入长沙时务学堂,成为梁启超的学生.然而,当百日维新被慈禧太后抹杀在血泊之中,康有为流亡海外以后,并没能"与时俱进",承当起推动中国文明先进的义务,他的身后始终拖着一条长长的辫子,就如他思想深处也拖着一条"保皇"的尾巴.正由于他跟不上时代的步调,他的弟子梁启超才会和他各奔前程.康有为是近代中国的一个神话,这个神话源于他对"帝王师"的执著追求,他把这一目的摆在最高的地位,处处以帝师自命,不惜虚构戊戌变法的历史,掩饰本相,造衣带诏,在华侨与留学生中宣扬保皇,筹巨款以自重,说白了,玩的都是权术,朝思暮想的只是他个人的荣辱位置.他环游列国,刻了一颗长达27个字的图章:"维新百日,出亡十六年,三周大地,游遍四洲,经三十一国,行六十万里".其中不无自得,然而究竟与时代愈来愈远了,历史无情地将他淘汰出局,就如另一个曾走在时代前列、领过历史风流的严复,最后竟沦为"筹安六正人"之一.
孙中山的出场直接导致了中国社会的转型,停止了连绵数多少千年的帝制时期,将皇冠、血统世袭制等为特点的王朝体系扔进了历史的垃圾堆,为中国引入了全新的共跟政体.之后,袁世凯皇袍加身的野心、张勋拥废帝弹冠相庆的打算都如过眼云烟.近百年来,不论有多少风波变幻,任何专制者想恢复一家一姓的王朝美梦都失去了可能性.这是孙中山、黄兴他们留给历史的最大功绩.孙中山缔造民国,功在千秋,他的所出缺憾都不能与他这一宏大功劳等量齐观.
尽管他身上也有历史性的遗憾,比方1920年1月,他对北大学生张国焘、康白情、许德珩等说:"你们对抗北京政府的举动是很好的;你们的革命精神也是可信服的.但你们无非写文章、开大会、 *** 请愿、奔忙呼号.你们最大的成就也不过是聚集几万人示威 *** ,罢课、罢工、罢市几天罢了.如果我当初给你们五百支枪,你们能找到五百个真正不怕逝世的学生托将起来,去打北京的那些败类,才算是真正革命."中国历史上的改朝换代(无论上层的宫廷政变,还是下层的农民起义)都是暴力造成的,近代以来的历史也反复表明,只有暴力才是决定中国政治的最后声音.暴力革命的传统已经渗透孙中山的骨髓里,所以在他看来,"五四"运动只不过是赤手空拳地与北洋政府抗争.他看不到"五四"的重粗心义之一就在于它给中国供给了另一种有别于暴力传统的先例.它并不诉诸武力,它的力量是思想的气力、思潮的力量,它反对旧思想、旧文化、旧权势,提倡新思想、新文化,并不从政治层面入手,以篡夺权力为目标.这是一辈子从事暴力革命的孙中山所难以懂得的.即使在他高度确定"五四"的《致海本国民党同道书》中,思想也是为政治服务的,而不具备本身独立的价值.
"二次革命"失败后,孙中山在日本重建中华革命党,这不是一个公然的政党,全部党员要服从党魁命令,各具誓约,誓愿就义生命、自由权力,还要在誓言上加印右手中指指模."首以遵从命令为独一之要件.凡入党各员,必自问情愿屈服文一人,毫无疑虑而后可".党章中把党员分为首义党员、帮助党员、一般党员,在革命胜利当前分辨为功臣公民、有功公民、进步公民,以"革命"的名义剥夺了大部门人的公民资历.这是典范的"打江山、坐江山"的中国式逻辑,他疏忽了没有人权概念的普遍遍及,没有国民社会的构成,民主制度不外是海市蜃楼,这不是依附对革命者授予优先特权、照功行赏就能解决的.
回想漫长的革命征程,面对一连串的失败,孙中山暮年转而向新生的苏联追求辅助,走上"联俄联共"的道路,并以苏共模式改选中国国民党.1924年1月20日,他在中国国民党第一次全国代表大会上首次提出"以党建国"、"以党治国"、"党在国上"的观点,"先由党造出一个国来","以党建国","把党放在国上".这一"党在国上"思想为蒋介石将"民国"变成"党国"铺平了途径.在有着深挚王朝传统的土壤上,由"家天下"到"党天下"只有一步之遥.对身后涌现的"党国",孙中山虽然始料未及,但不能不说是他留下的最大遗憾.
陈英士、陈炯明都曾是跟随孙中山的联盟会人,他们在上海、广东控制权力之后,疏忽约法,革除异己,钳制舆论,枪杀报人,草菅人命,一点人权观点也没有,孙中山对此无可奈何.陈英士派人刺杀收复会首领李燮和、陶成章,枪杀陶骏葆.陈炯明限令遣散常设省议会,血腥弹压其余民军,悍然枪决有名报人黄世仲.《广州公言报》、《陀城日日消息》主持人陈听香打抱不平,陈即时下令关闭两报,并将陈听香拘捕枪毙,比张作霖等军阀杀邵飘萍、林白水早了十三年,beijing escort,那时离民国成立仅三个多月.这一切充足裸露出人道中昏暗、残暴的一面.实在,在"打江山、坐江山"的心态安排下,无论什么人把握了没有制约的权力,都将是危险的.权力腐化人,为了坚固得手的权力,昔日的幻想主义者也会演变,缺乏有效的权力制衡,缺少对异己、对不同声音的容纳,成果只能在兴衰成败的"周期率"中打转.
宋教仁和蔡锷两个湖南青年都是中国政治史上异质的因子,他们像彗星一样过早地陨落,是民族的重大丧失.宋教仁有着阳光个别的性情,他试图把中国政治引入阳光的轨道,他身上没有敌人意识,从不疑惑政敌的人格,对中国政治的险恶缺乏清醒的认识,在民初转瞬即逝的舞台上,他刹那的光华几乎照亮了数千年的黑暗,他以为有了民国,有了宪法,实现两党制、责任内阁、权力制衡、自由竞选乃是理所当然的.他组织国民党,亲身访问梁启超,以轮流执政相期许,和袁世凯的心腹过从甚密,对袁也并无反感,即使在上海火车站中弹之后,他在弥留之际口授的电文中仍对袁抱有希望.你可以说他成熟、说他糊涂,但你不得不否认他是合适推动民主的政治家,也难怪他曾刮起永远令人悼念的"宋教仁旋风".他的阳光性格正好与袁世凯阴暗、自私、不可告人的帝王心态,以及无限权力不容他人觊觎的传统政治规矩发生了不可协调的抵触.袁世凯以残暴的手段将他置于死地,也无情地扑灭了中国人追求民主宪政的浪潮.宋和袁的对照就是近代与古代的不同,可怜的是中国仍停留在古代,宋教仁以年青的生命为百年中国留下了一个悬念.他的死标志着又一次跳出历史"周期率" 的努力失败了,成王败寇的逻辑持续主导着中国,曾几何时,孙中山、黄兴hh这些民国元勋在自己缔造的民国成了通缉犯,再度踏上流亡的老路.
年轻的蔡锷站出来向天下已成其囊中之物的硕大无朋袁世凯说不,护国壮举的背地并无个人目的,仅仅是"为四万万国民争人格",天然也包括为他自己争人格.起事先夕,他和梁启超在天津相约:"事之不济,吾侪死之,决不流亡;若其济也,吾侪引退,决不在朝."这番誓言,至今读来仍掷地有声.他是近代将领中唯一一个富有知识分子气质的人,他之所以冒险犯难,逃离北京,起兵反袁,完全基于他对共和理想的矢志不渝,他对人格尊严的在意与追求,而他对袁本人始终是心存感怀的.这一豪举虽然未能结束几千年扶植起来的忠君文化、权力崇拜文化,但这毕竟有别于"打江山、坐江山"的传统取舍,在中领土壤上终于出现了一点异质的货色,在几千年长夜之后终于曙光初现,怎么肯定其意义都不为过.

跳出"周期率",靠的是制度转型诚然没错,但制度转型须要文化的支持,在成王败寇、"打江山、坐江山"的传统格式下,在积重难返的皇权崇拜、青天情结安排下,当一个民族最优秀的精髓因子也只会在"屈原人格"中打转,走不出"第二种忠实",走不出幕僚情结,即使有了共和的形式,有了宪法、议会和总统,也不会有真正的民主,无非是"其兴也勃焉","其亡也忽焉".这其中至关主要的一点是言论自由,舆论自在不仅是知识分子的生命线,也是一个社会文明水平的基本标记.一个没有言论自由的国家相对称不上文化国度.
从王韬、梁启超到邵飘萍、张季鸾、胡政之、胡适、储安同等,几代知识分子为此付出了智慧、血汗乃至生命.从1874年王韬在香港创办《循环日报》到1948年储安平的《察看》周刊被封杀,近百年来,知识分子"文章报国"的理想从未泯灭过,他们对现实事务、历史事件的判定容或有错,但他们对文明大势的断定基础上是苏醒、正确的.他们都意识到中国必需从旧的传统中走出来,结束周而复始、恶性循环的命运,也就是跳出"周期率".他们从言论入手,尽言论之本分,"监督政府,向导国民",一直地争夺言论自由.无论面对晚清王朝还是袁世凯,无论是不拘一格的北洋军阀,还是蒋介石、日自己,他们都一样遵守言责,毫不懈怠.他们的思想或者各不雷同,他们的事实关心程度也天差地别,相同的是他们对言论自由的寻求.没有思想自由、言论自由,一个古老的专制国家就不可能走出古代,踏上近代的门槛.
梁启超是上个世纪之交"言论界的骄子", 他以《新民说》等大批文章、著述给中国带来了某种愿望,从《时务报》到《清议报》、《新民丛报》,他那带有情感的笔锋沾染了不止一代人,直接影响了蔡锷等学子,间接影响了简直每一个知识分子.在戊戌变法失败后的苦楚岁月里,他走出了老师康有为的影子,造诣了上个世纪之交一个知识分子所能到达的最高成绩.1912年,在阅历了十五年的亡命生活后,他返回祖国,在一次报界欢送大会上,他无比感叹地说:清王朝的覆灭、中华民国的出生,"则报馆宣传之功最高",他称之为"以黑血革命代红血革命".梁启超毕生耿耿以"新民"为念,辛亥革命之前的十八年中他先后办过七个报刊,以其言论、思想改变了一个时代,丰盛了民族的精神宝库.他以为立言的主旨就在于"浚牖民智,薰陶民德,发挥民力,务使养成共和法治国国民之资格".(《梁启超选集》第四册,北京出版社1999年版,2509页)所以,他回国以后,面对潮水般的欢迎,他首先想到的是重操旧业,表现愿以办报为本人终惹事业.他的这一认识无疑是相称深入的.遗憾的是民国初年他经不起种种引诱,一脚踩入了污泥浊水的政坛,为众人所诟病.一个言论界的梁启超,其影响、作用弘远于一个总长的梁启超.
当陈独秀痛定思痛创办《新青年》,打出"德先生"和"赛先生"的大旗,一场孕育了新文化的"五四运动"就跃然纸上了.陈独秀曾言,办报十年,国中风气当为之一变.邵飘萍、林白水抱定新闻救国之志,不惜流血.与他们的殉道精神比拟,他们的毛病不过是白圭之瑕.《大公报》在张季鸾、胡政之他们手里弘扬光大,赢得世界性的名誉不是偶尔的,"小骂大帮忙"的污水遮蔽不了历史的真相,百年回首,我们仍然为他们当年的言论风度而冲动,他们不仅忠诚地记载了一个时代,而且参加塑造了一个时代.《大公报》为代表的民间报纸对国民党专政、腐朽的公开批评,对社会进步、民生幸福的追求,让我们今天读之仍为之动容.在两极对立、左右不是的夹缝中,他们始终坚持自身的独立性,坚持中道而行,尽管他们的一切努力终极都化为了灰烬.
在通向言论自由的路上,每一步都洒满了牺牲者的汗水和血迹.近代中国的每一个渺小的进步都凝固着他们的理想.从胡适、傅斯年、罗隆基、王造时到储安平,直接吮吸过西方文明乳汁的新一代知识分子,他们对中国的弊病有更清醒的懂得,无论他们最后留在大陆,还是去了美国、台湾,他们对中国的感情是一致的,他们试图走出专制传统的阴影是一致的.对他们而言,言论自由是禀赋人权,是与生俱来的.1929年,胡适、罗隆基在《新月》公开批驳国民党一党专政,发动人权运动时,他们没有一丝的恐惧.王造时无论在写《从"真命皇帝"到"流氓皇帝"》时,还是在办《主意与批评》、《自由言论》半月刊时,面对怎样的压力、危害、要挟,他都没有屈从,这些领有博士头衔、洞悉人类文明趋势的知识者,在他们心目中,发言是天职,批评政府是常态.当官对他们没有什么诱惑,王造时几回拒绝过蒋介石的笼络,罗隆基也曾拒绝当国民党的部长,胡适一辈子有许多从政的机遇,包含做教导部长、行政院长等,他都逐一拒绝了,只愿当战时的驻美大使、北大校长.
有这样的认识,他们才有足够的底气,坦荡面对一切袭来的横逆.储安平办《视察》是中国自由主义在20世纪最后一次实践冲刺,《文汇报》、《新民报》等被封杀,他站出来抗议;民盟被禁,他发表北京48教学的联名抗议;即使"政府利刃,指向《观察》",他也要谈话hh1948年12月,《观察》终于沉溺在一个黝黑的永夜里.
他们之所以能作出这样的抉择,来自他们独立的人格追求,有独立人格,不以权力的长短为是非,才有独立判断,独立批评.知识分子站在权势团体之外,不依附,不献媚,不唯权是从,是言论自由的必要条件.几千年来我们跳不出王朝兴衰、循环往复的"周期率",其中一个重要原因就是王芸生先生早已发现的,中国从来只在两个"统"中打转,一个是"正统",一个是"道统".所谓"正统"说穿了也就是谁掌握了无限权力,当上了皇帝,谁就是"正统",什么篡位、逼宫都不在话下,刘邦当了皇帝,他就是"正统",项羽如果胜了,他照样是"正统",一句话,"成者王,败者寇".历史素来是按照他们的意志修的,即使千古典型的《史记》也类似于帝王将相的家谱.所谓"道统"名义上是儒家、骨子里是法家("阳儒阴法"),百代都行秦政制,说出了一个事实,"道统"是为皇权统治服务的,读书人皓首穷经,八股考据故纸堆,这一切都是为了有朝一日登上天子堂,为一家一姓的王朝效率,从而显亲扬名,享受荣华富贵,"道统"确立了"普天之下"的统治秩序,对皇权、对祖宗之法一切都容不得猜忌.中古长夜,何止千年,岁月悠悠,几乎没有人对皇权、对世袭制、对扭曲的儒家学说提出质疑.读书人除了走科举之路、隐居之路,没有其他任何路可走.
文明彷徨不前,社会停止不动,文化无赌气,不允许任何不同思想,这样的局面连续几千年,这在世界史上是常见的.在这样的环境中,不可能成长呈现代文明的因子.如果不是近代列强用大炮轰开中国的大门,闭关自守的天朝大国还以为自己永远是世界的核心呢.家喻户晓,睁眼看世界的第一代中国人首先惊奇于西方的坚船利炮,接着登场的知识分子开始看到自身制度的缺点、文明的差距.无论是传教士,还是早期留学日本、西方的知识分子都给这个古老农业文明社会带来了新的观念、价值.新一代知识分子在19世纪末以来急剧的社会变动中逐步成长起来.梁启超说戊戌变法以后的15年变化之大超过了以往一百五十年,这话说得还是守旧了些.
洪秀全没有走出传统造反、坐天下的老路.在康有为身上,我们固然可以看到传统的因袭,但变更已经开端.孙中山为创建共和作出的尽力,足以让他名垂史册.宋教仁、蔡锷在幽暗的历史中喷射出霎时的光华.假如我们要重写中国近代史,不能再依照"打天下、坐天下"、成王败寇的逻辑来写,主角也不是以政治人物为主.尽管戊戌变法、宪政运动、辛亥革命、军阀混战这些都仍是要写的,但对那些切实推进了社会转型的人、事和机构尤其应大书特书.蔡元培以"兼容并包,思惟自由"的理念奠定北大的基本,也是为中国现代大学奠基,其功绩不亚于孙中山手造民国.陈独秀、胡适办《新青年》、推动新文化活动,张季鸾、胡政之等以"四不"方针接办《大公报》,张元济、王云五等对近代出版业的奉献hh这些攻破了千年朝气的人物,他们身上都闪耀出有别于传统文人的光辉.袁世凯、张作霖、蒋介石之流算不上历史的主角,同盟会、北洋军阀、公民党的运动hh也不能盘踞太多的篇幅,推动文明提高的力气是多元的.一元论的历史观应当到了死于非命的时候了.在中国近代史上,一报(《至公报》)、一馆(商务印书馆)、一大学(北京大学)值得器重,它们存在象征意义,以它们为代表的近代大学、出版业和民间报纸为中国引入了新的文明,培养了几代新型知识分子,是中国思维自由、学术自由、言论自由的风向标.开办这些事业的知识分子,站在权力以外,与当权者坚持间隔,独立首创了历史新局势.其精力价值和实际意思都是永不磨灭的.我认为,要说跳出"周期率",只有从他们身上能够看到一点盼望的影子.

遥望十八世纪的新大陆,华盛顿经八年苦战,终于为那片土地博得了自由以后,严词谢绝王袍加身的呐喊,解甲归田.这是一种怎样的文化?这是一些怎样的人?产生在新大陆的故事让全世界线人一新.对比我们古老的东方大陆,一次次的改朝换代都没有触动皇权自身.底层农夫一旦造反成功,登上皇位,一样是生杀予夺,发号施令,以天下万物苍生为他囊中私有之物.从刘邦到朱元璋,甚至可以算上失败的李自成、张献忠、洪秀全之类,都是一个模子铸出来的.不是"彼可取而代之",就是"大丈夫当如斯也".权力是唯一的,任何人当了皇帝,都不容别人染指,大臣也只有高呼"臣罪当诛兮,天王圣明"的份.老庶民要么老诚实实纳粮、服劳役,要么就是逼上梁山,揭竿而起,败则为寇,成则为王,或者杀人纵火受招抚.总之,不会有新名堂、新模式.一切都是循环,一切都是循环,从不可一世的秦始皇到龙椅上撒尿的宣统,都没有转变.
1912年是近代史上一个让人目迷五色的年份,帝制推倒,共和告成,床底下拉出的旧军官成了元勋、副总统,大大小小的旧官僚摇身一变、"咸与维新"了,带兵的还是本来的把总,革命党人有荣登高位的,也有惨遭杀戮的,宣统退位,孙中山辞职,袁世凯当上了民国的大总统,把他称为"华盛顿" 的居然大有人在hh孙中山、黄兴挟辛亥革命的风雷,出现在民初的政治舞台上,他们一让总统,一辞留守,在进退之间,以其纯粹的人格打破了几千年来一捉住权力即死不撒手的积习.如果按照中国人的习惯心理,孙中山完全可以不让总统,不管怎么样也要与袁世凯大打一场,争取天下,至于黄兴手握重兵,更不会辞职,以其权威、号令力,进可以取中原,退可以割据江南富嫡之地.所以,无论有多少失误,不管有什么遗憾,shanghai massage,孙、黄二人都高出旁人万万也.他们的人格风范虽不足与华盛顿相提并论,也足以光照整个中国史.在他们之后,从袁世凯到蒋介石到毛泽东hh,一部中国史真是江河日下,不堪回顾.
20世纪中国发...

近多少年来中国经济高速发展,中国制造风卷全球,出口贸易热浪滚滚,中国从低端到高端铃琅满目的产品正走向世界的每一个角落.属于西方传统市场的领地不断被中国侵蚀,俄罗斯《生意人报》发出了这样的赞叹:用不了多久,中国军机也会像中国出产的服装一样,横扫国际军机市场."看着经济实力迅猛起飞的中国,被绵长的伊拉克战役困扰着的美国人又坐不住了,想到该是让转嫁战争丧失的时候了,该是分享中国经济成果的时候了,美国强权外交政策,迈开了参与中国金融范畴和资本市场的脚步,加速侵犯中国靠心血工厂的财产积聚.
一场美元对人民币的大范围的屠戮正在展开,当下最大的汇率把持国实际上是美国.你外汇储备少时,它攻打你货币,使你贬值造成货币危机;你外汇储备多时,它力推弱势美元,shanghai massage,拉动全球资源价钱暴涨,直接打击你外储的购置力,使你数十年经济增长的结果刹那子虚乌有.在这一进程中,对冲基金无疑是美国谋取好处的最为主要的一支"雇佣军".美国在全球范畴内推行经济一体化跟金融一体化,让以对冲基金为代表的资金去冲击其余国度,导致暴涨暴跌,终极达成让美国金融机构盈利的目标.而新兴市场国家无不置身于这一国际金融秩序的宏大危险之中.当美国进入金融衍生经济阶段之后,就越来越像一个可能看透对方底牌的 "千王之王",抛出一枚硬币,正面他能赢5000元,背面他也能赚5000元.
目前中国经济开始陷入通胀的漩涡,飞涨的房价之后,是粮价.粮价之后,猪肉的价格正在成为新的问题,通胀仿佛变得不可防止甚至有加快的趋势,这和美国美元政策有千头万绪的接洽.也是美国惯用的伎俩.当一个国家的经济发展和外汇储备达到让美国觉得不安的时候,美国的一贯办法是,以强权施压这个国家货币升值、升值、再升值,同时让本国金融投机机构以乘机进入彼国的股市、楼市等硬通货领域,疯狂地制造泡沫,同时以抬高粮油期货价格,造成民众粮油等基础生活品通货膨胀,你想逝世咋的,让股价、房价、粮油价格冲破民众的心理蒙受才能,继而引发民众对ZF的不满,造成高层官员看法分岐,引发政局动荡.始终让这些金融杀手赚到的钱足足能够把这个国家的本币和外汇储备全体架空之时,他们就会忽然反手做空,一边观赏抢夺来的成功果实,一边看着彼国经济倾刻失守和政局骚乱,继而插手这个国家的政治领域.
从前10年,美元货泉印刷总量超过过去四十年印刷总量,寰球官方贮备增加更是到达了惊人的2倍之多,中国的官方储备由2000年1656亿美元回升到目前的1.3万亿美元.美国以猖狂的速度印制美元,制造美元洪流,不惜制作全球通货膨胀.转嫁经济窘境.
请问当在我们领有以占有全球头号美元储备国身份时,咱们的环境、资源、教导、医疗与房价如何?今后美国还会印刷出更巨量的美元送到我们手中,那么我们的将来将是什么?当我们的沉醉在该逝世的GDP猛增的赞歌中,我们的生涯好了吗?我们疲乏的身躯得到放松了吗?我们的未来在那里.
目前阻击国民币的战斗,在中国资本市场悄悄开展,shanghai escort!更残暴的还在后头.
2005年10月,索罗斯等华尔街所有实力人物一直恳求美ZF以最快的速度翻开中国金融之门,白宫心领神会,应用恩威并施的习用手法,请求中国开放金融市场,同时勾引和迫使人民币升值,并在极短的时光内如愿以偿.100亿美元的QFII,顺利获到准入,beijing massage,如饥似渴的捡起那些价格低廉得不可思义的石油、矿产能源等筹码.在100亿正规军的保护下,上千亿美元投契资金通过虚伪商业、地下银号、香港财团、外资银行等等渠道,以个人帐户的情势疯狂建仓A 股,尤其是期货市场合能操丛价格稳定的板块.
2006年2月末-5月,有色金属板块跟着期货价格一路攀升,均匀涨幅超过5倍,其中黄金和铜濒临10倍,伟大的赚钱效应吸引刚从熊市中睡醒的中资机构和散户,在4月末至5月初疯狂抢进,有的上市公司大量高位买进本质期货.QFII带着他们净赚的160亿美元顺利退出,开端了他们的夏季假期.接着,期货价格一路下滑,机构、私募、散户、企业如数被套,beijing escort,在长达3个月的中期调剂中,这轮牛市的第一批股民意气消沉,割肉出逃,有色板块历经长达6 个月的烦闷,筹码又被静静收集,在2007年伊始,随着期货价格的回升,又开始了新一轮的高速套利.
无可否定,一场阻击人民币的金融大战早已拉开,我们已经深陷其中,决战的时刻随时都会到来.我想手握神器的首领们所要做的不会仅仅是让赤手空拳的民众们阔别虎狼横行之地,更重的是要让大众真正得以享受经济高速发展的成果.要加强资源、能源保障,调整经济构造和增长模式、减少国际资源、能源依附;要扎紧竹篱看好国门,坚守人民币迟缓升值、增强资本项下人民币兑换监管;重办内外夹攻地下钱庄、股市黑庄和满嘴洋墨的黑心买办经济学家,由于他们无论做多做空、唱多唱空都是为了本人的一点小利去伤害国家的利益、侵害人民的利益;要全民发动发明、举报线索,坚定打击热钱出入,要让索罗斯们进得来出不去,陷其于人民金融战之中.

Erhard Loretanmm埃哈德.罗瑞坦
生于1959年,在瑞士一个叫Cruz的山村长大.1981年取得深谷向导证书.
11岁开端爬山,4年当前沿东山脊岩石线路登上了Doldenhom(3,beijing massage,645米).
轻装快行是他的信条,在他和Jean Troillet的8座8000米山峰攀登中,shanghai massage,只有一次结组,他仿佛和喜马拉雅对着干.他常常不带宿营装备和炉子,beijing escort,只带最低限度的食物和水.
他说:时间越短,越保险.
Erhard Loretan用十三年的时光实现了14座8000山峰的攀缘,并且还活着.截止到目前全世界只有十一人完成了这一豪举,弃高考择留学,其中三人遇难.
据风闻,Erhard Loretan在2002年被控杀逝世他多少个月大的的亲生儿子后再无新闻.
登山阅历:
1980~Pallcaraju、Ranrapalca、Caras、Artesonraju、Huascaran
1982~南迦帕尔巴特Nanga Parbat
1983~加舒尔布鲁木1GasherbrumI、加舒尔布鲁木2GasherbrumII、布洛阿特Broad Peak
1984~马那斯鲁Manaslu、安那普尔纳Annapurna(穿梭)
1985~乔戈里K2、道拉吉里Dhaulagiri、Eiger
1986~40座瑞士山峰(19天)、珠峰Everest(40小时从BC动身返回)、卓奥友Cho Oyo
1987~在Bernese Alps遭受事变
1988~Trango Tower
1989~13 North Faces(Bernese Alps)、K2(试登)
1990~麦金利Mckinley、卓奥友Cho Oyo、希夏邦马Shisha Pangma
1991~马卡鲁Makalu
1992~乔戈里K2
1993~干城章嘉Kangchenjunga(试登)
1994~洛子Lhotse、Mont Epperly
1995~干城章嘉Kangchenjunga、Loretan(南极的无名峰)
1997~南迦帕尔巴特Nanga Parbat(跟Voytek Kurtyka配合尝试攀登Mazeno山脊)
2000~南迦帕尔巴特Nanga Parbat(和Jean Troillet协作尝试攀登Mazeno山脊)
Born in 1959. He lives in the mountain village of Cresuz, Switzerland. Receiced his diploma as a certificaded Swiss mountain guide in 1981.
Started climbing at the age of 11. Four years later he made his first demanding climb by scaling off the rocky east ridge of the Doldenhorn (3,645 metres)
Go fast and light is Loretan's philosophy. Against the Himalayan standards he has only roped himself once on the way to the eight 8,000 metre summits he's climbed with Jean Troillet, often by-passed bivouacs or stoves, carried minimal reserves of food and drinks. -"The less time you spend up there,shanghai escort, the safer you are".
SELECTED CLIMBS
1980 - Pallcaraju
1980 - Ranrapalca
1980 - Caras
1980 - Artesonraju
1980 - Huascaran
1982 - Nanga Parbat
1983 - Gasherbrum I
1983 - Gasherbrum II
1983 - Broad Peak
1984 - Manaslu
1984 - Annapurna (traverse)
1985 - K2
1985 - Dhaulagiri
1985 - Eiger
1986 - 40 Swiss Summits (in 19 days)
1986 - Everest (40 hours BC and back)
1986 - Cho Oyo
1987 - Near fatal accident in the Bernese Alps
1988 - Trango Tower
1989 - 13 North Faces (Bernese Alps)
1989 - K2 (attempt)
1990 - Mckinley
1990 - Cho Oyo
1990 - Shisha Pangma
1991 - Makalu
1992 - K2
1993 - Kangchenjunga (attempt)
1994 - Lhotse
1994 - Mont Epperly
1995 - Kangchenjunga
1995 - Mont Loretan? (un-named mountain in Antarctic)
1997 - Nanga Parbat (attempt to climb the Mazeno Ridge with Voytek Kurtyka)
2000 - Nanga Parbat (attempt to climb the Mazeno Ridge with Jean Troillet)
Nanga Parbat的Mazeno山脊
Bernes
Trango Tower
Everest
Manaslu
2001年5月

Typically, when looking to move an account from one carrier to another, you can count on some degree of similarity in policy forms. For the most part, a general liability policy with one standard company will look similar to the general liability policy with another standard carrier. While it is still key to carry out some analysis to identify any differences and bring those differences to the customers attention chances are the differences will be few. If looking to move a professional liability account from one carrier to another, it is critical to conduct this detailed analysis as the differences will be more extensive.
Lets look at some more common differences.
Overall Form
Most (but not all) professional liability carriers provide this coverage on a claims-made basis, meaning claims reported during the policy period are covered provided the actual error, which could have occurred months or years ago, was after any applicable retroactive date (more on this shortly). While few professional liability coverages are written on an occurrence form, they do exist. Some professional liability coverages, also commonly called errors and omissions (E&O),canada goose vest, are written on a claims-made and reported basis. The distinction here is that for coverage to apply, claims must be made and reported to the carrier in the same policy term.
Key Terms
Retroactive (or Retro) Date vs. Full Prior Acts This extremely important concept will have a huge impact on whether a claim is valid. Using agents E&O in our example, for a claim to be valid the error committed by the agency, such as failure to put collision on a vehicle, must be after the retro date. If the error occurred before the retro date, no coverage would be provided.
The retro date is typically shown on the face of the policy. If the declarations sheet states full prior acts or none in the area where a retro date would be noted, there is no retro date and the insured is protected for errors made regardless of when they were committed.
If moving an account to another carrier and Carrier A is providing full prior acts, be certain Carrier B is providing full prior acts,canada goose, too. If Carrier B requires a retro date, without further modifications, you could be exposing your client to a gap in coverage. There is a good chance the premium with Carrier B will be less since they are affording less coverage. Any time there is a difference in retro dates when you are considering moving an account, counsel your client to purchase a tail on the old policy to cover any coverage gaps.
Covered Activities To provide professional liability, you must have a full understanding of the activities your specific client is handling. If you are considering moving your account to another carrier, compare the activities for which the policy provides coverage and then meet with your client to review to determine whether they perform any activities that would not be covered.
Definition of Insured Differences in this area occur, so be certain to analyze the forms. Common gaps may include no coverage for: 1) former employees, 2) independent contractors, 3) leased or temporary staff or 4) boards of directors. Clarify any subtle differences now as they can have a significant impact on a claim down the road.
Exclusions When reviewing policy forms, just because one form has 15 exclusions and the other form only has two does not necessarily make the one with two exclusions the broader form. Sometimes,www.guccipascher.net, the goal with the carrier with 15 exclusions is to make very clear what is and what is not covered. This is not a bad approach as it helps remove any doubt up front.
Defense Provision Policies may be written with defense in addition to the limit of liability or defense within the limit of liability. If the defense is within the limit, any dollars spent defending the customer will impair (reduce) the limit available for any settlement/judgment. Defense (unlimited) in addition to the limit of liability is the broadest.
Deductible This may be on a loss-only basis or a combined basis. With loss-only coverage, the insured would not participate in any claims defense, litigation or claims-handling expenses associated with the claim. These would be handled by the carrier. Conversely, with a combined loss and expense deductible, the insured would participate in these expenses up to the deductible limit. Make sure your customer knows their obligation.
Extended Reporting Period This is often called a tail. While virtually all claims-made policies contain this provision, this does not mean there is consistency among carriers as to the available options. Using agents as an example, if an agency sells its business to another agency, the seller would buy a tail. This provides an additional period of time after the expiration of the policy for which valid claims will continue to be accepted, provided the wrongful act occurred before the end of the policy period. Some policies may only allow options up to three years, while some carriers may provide up to 10 years or even an unlimited period.
Receipt of the Policy When you send out/deliver policies,canada goose prix, always advise your clients to review the policy to ensure everything is in order. Obviously, the agency should also review the policy to make sure it matches what was requested.
Why the Client Should Buy Tail Protection
As you will note after reading the following claim, the agent should have advised the real estate agent to buy a tail to protect him for claims subsequently made against him.
The agencys client, a real estate agent, had a claims-made real estate professional liability policy which was non-renewed based on loss history. The real estate agent made a conscious decision not to replace the coverage due to pricing concerns as the premium would have been four times higher with a new carrier. He later changed his mind and procured a new claims-made policy with a retro date even with the new policys inception date.
The client was sued for a loss where the alleged wrongful act occurred during the period covered by the expired policy and prior to the new policys retro date. The new carrier disclaimed based on the retro date, and the client was forced to spend 211,000 defending himself. The agent never advised the client to purchase a tail for the old policy, which would have covered the loss had a tail been in place. In addition, the agent did not fully explain how the newer retro date would affect claims based on older wrongful acts. The claim against the agent was settled for 200,000.
Other Professionals
When one thinks of professional liability, oftentimes the following classes of professional business come to mind: real estate agents, lawyers, medical professionals, accountants and insurance agents. While these are some of the more common,canada goose coats, there are more than 100 additional professional occupations including appraisers, engineers, pharmacists, court reporters, speech pathologists, consultants, therapists and teachers that have a professional liability exposure.
With many of these classes, the general liability carrier will include a professional liability exclusion as it is not their intent to protect that segment of the clients business. This is a good indication that you should secure a professional liability proposal for their professional exposure.
Handling professional liability requires you to understand its uniqueness the terms and the coverages. Undertaking this effort now can save you from an E&O claim later.
Pearsall, CPCU, ARM, is president of Pearsall Associates Inc., a risk management consulting firm specializing helping agents protect themselves. He is also a special consultant to the Utica National Agents E&O program. Phone: 315-768- 1534. E-mail: curtispearsallassociates.com.







About Curtis M. Pearsall



Pearsall, CPCU, ARM, is president of Pearsall Associates Inc., a risk management consulting firm specializing helping agents protect themselves. He is also a special consultant to the Utica National Agents E&O program. Phone: 315-768- 1534. E-mail: curtispearsallassociates.com. More from Curtis M. Pearsall
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SSL provides visitors to your website with the confidence to communicate securely via an encrypted session. For companies wishing to conduct secure e-commerce, such as receiving credit card numbers or other sensitive information online, SSL is essential.
For SSL to work a valid signed SSL certificate is essential. Certificates are a standard way of binding a public key to a name. Public key encryption is a tactic that uses a pair of asymmetric keys for encryption and decryption. Each pair of keys consists of a public key and a private key. The public key is made public by distributing it widely. The private key is never distributed; it is always kept secret. Data that is encrypted with the public key can be decrypted only with the private key. Conversely,Supra Shoes Pas Cher, data encrypted with the private key can be decrypted only with the public key. This asymmetry makes public key cryptography so useful.
You can generate a self-signed certificate and use it for some time until the certificate "signed" by a trusted external authority
VeriSign certificate authority
or
GeoTrust Site Seals
And it will be ready.
To enable SSL for your website with self-signed certificate:
1.Click on the Site tab;
2.Select Website Settings. Your website General Settings appear on the screen;
3.Click the Secure Website tab. The secure website summary appears on the screen;
4.Click the Generate a Request button. The certificate-request form appears on the screen;
5.Fill the form:
1.Select your country of residence from the Country drop-down menu. If needed, scroll the list;
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Note: Do not forget to backup your private key: click the SSL private key details link (the private key content will appear in popup window) and copy your private key content to a file.

7. Click the Generate the SSL Certificate button. In a few seconds the screen reloads with the updated secure website summary: now the certificate is in place and the secure website is available;
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1.Click on the Site tab. Website general settings appear on the screen;
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4.Copy the certificate request content in a file and send it to the certificate authority.
To import an SSL certificate signed by a certificate authority:
1.Click on the Site tab;
2.Select Website Settings. Your website general settings appear on the screen;
3.Click the Secure Website tab. The secure website summary appears on the screen;
4.Click the Install the SSL Certificate button. The form for SSL certificate importing appears on the screen;
5.Do one of the following:
1.Type the path to a file containing the SSL certificate in the Certificate file name textbox or click the Browse button to locate the file;
2.Or paste the certificate content in the Certificate content textbox;
6.Click the Submit button. The secure website summary appears on the screen;
7.Click the Enable SSL button.
To import both your backup SSL certificate and private key:
1.Click on the Site tab;
2.Select Website Settings. Your website general settings appear on the screen;
3.Click the Secure Website tab. Secure website summary appears on the screen;
4.Click the Install the SSL Files button. The form for both the SSL key and certificate importing appears on the screen;
5.Submit the key and certificate:
1.Type the path to a file containing the private key the Private key file name textbox (click the Browse button to locate the file) or paste the private key content in the Private key content textbox;
2.Type the path to a file containing the SSL certificate in the Certificate file name textbox (click the Browse button to locate the file) or paste the certificate content in the Certificate content textbox;
6.Click the Submit button. The secure website summary appears on the screen;
7.Click the Enable SSL button.
Notes:

Netscape and Mozilla browsers automatically detect whether a website uses encryption of transmitted data or not (as for Internet Explorer,Timberland Pas Cher, please encourage your website visitors who use IE to use Internet Explorer 5.0 or later). Thus, if you use a self-signed certificate, your website visitors will be notified that your website uses encryption,www.monclerpiumini-it.net, but the authority that signed a certificate is not recognized. So if you intend to conduct e-commerce at your website, it is better to obtain an SSL certificate signed by VeriSign orThawte.

Secure website can be enabled only for IP-based website (i.e., a website that does not share an IP address with other websites). So if you have several websites on your server and only one IP address - any of these sites (but only one of them) can be SSL-capable. Go for GeoTrust Power Server ID Wildcard Certificate.

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On intellectual property rights, to speak out.
Do not think the protection of intellectual property rights, is studied based on economic theory, be able to see more in-depth questions.
In short, the protection of intellectual property rights adversely and directly to people's psychological adjustment of expectations, causing some people to do things that would not , let alone compete with others in the industry is expected that the trading loss is no one willing to do,beijing escort, just that simple. If Software piracy is too extreme, that investment is profitable, there is no owner is willing to invest, willing to take the plunge while other people's products, the introduction of generation after generation, development and progress, slowly, the gap came out, all the core technologies on both fell into the hands of others, while we, we can only rely on someone else's heart or tools,I even if we have then a strong desire to do things for the yard, doing what the management system, or Dry afraid of piracy thing - online games.
I always do not play games, get down to business, but to also dry it, no effort, this thing online is no exception. a little bit of time I would rather see the reading, but a closer look, compared to traditional software development and sales of this model is concerned, this form of gaming operators a huge advantage. the first is not afraid of piracy, and encourage more extensive, more beneficial to the operation of more course, I also know that be lenient, find a kill one, kill date, Mercy Corps does not charge soldiers, the government should play a referee role.
I think, difficult to produce in China such as Microsoft's large-scale, general-purpose software company in China no property rights protection has always been the tradition, poor protection of intellectual property, causing investors have no way to make money, direct blow to the software industry. trying to make money, used to be by encryption, and industry began after binding, engage a dedicated system. So, in the country, the feeling is to get the most moisture to sell services, as long as the hand has thousands of users,shanghai massage, Gansha have money, you pay even if it is not the user is also valuable, depends on how you use it with Pa Moren. selling products are dry, no water.
once knew a friend, is to Microsoft's products do the test, he told me that every time Microsoft releases a new products, the Chinese version is almost always the last one out, and some of Microsoft's new product, never be a Chinese version, it will not introduce China's market is mainly due to piracy. this thing is I had not thought of there appears, intellectual property protection is definitely not appear to be so dispensable,shanghai escort, or always feel - injuries are it tastes good, but it is also eroding our body.
I have been opposed to this view - software piracy is because the software pricing too high, it seems mainly from Mr. Fang Xingdong. This argument can not be established, a company for their products and services, have the right to independent pricing. even if it is a unique, no two can not become a reason for piracy because it is double-edged sword, cool himself and hurt himself. Moreover , even if you can not afford to buy these products because of piracy, but other products? develop a habit of piracy,beijing massage, would not want these things.

[2009-2-18 8:59:47]
1,shanghai massage, the Dow plunged 297 points, oil prices fell, gold prices shot up; Russia's stock market collapse in Hong Kong stocks fall Manzo - the global economy because investors worried about the prospect, the United States fell sharply Tuesday, as of the close, the Dow fell 297.81 points to 7552.60 points, down 3.79%; S & P fell 37.67 points to 789.17 points, down 4.56%; the Nasdaq Composite fell 63.70 points, to 1470.66 points, down 4.15%.
2, net capital outflow of 22.7 billion yesterday, yesterday, about 22.7 billion net outflow of funds, net capital inflow of large plates are: Bank (-21.5 billion), iron and steel (-19.7 billion) , real estate (-19.5 billion), chemical fiber (-17.7 billion), coal oil (-17.2 million); and non-ferrous metal plate, about 600 million net inflow of funds.
3,1 months in nearly the size of the proportion of non-reduction three-month high, the actual reduction ratio dropped last December opened A-share market continued to rebound after years of outside capital both had a strong attraction, but also still hold the opportunity to cash in, though the two cities ban in January, the actual reduction of the size of the non-quantitative in December last year were down 36.1% and 30.7%, but the size of non-reduction of the month accounted for the proportion of the total turnover of the two cities are the highest in nearly three-month high.
4, This round of market, ; liquidity Last week, the stock jumped to 427,000 accounts, with the market's continued hot market, investors will enter the market than ever before, according to the board's latest statistics show that the last two weeks the number of consecutive double the stock account, new accounts, the two cities last week jumped to 42.7 million, a record since early April last year, a new high.
6, Social Security funds run admission data, as of last December, a total of 920 fund accounts, in January New accounting for 1.3%; social security fund account number 132, added in January accounted for 12%; QFII account for a total of 122 households, accounting for 4.9% added in January, although this rally started in November last year. However, it is market acceleration began in January of this year, so to understand the situation in January, the two cities account in judging the outlook is particularly important in the board yesterday the company announced a Fund three agencies last month, up to a total of 34 new accounts, second only in July last year, since the current bear market hit the main body second-highest monthly number of new accounts.
7, the Ministry of Finance on behalf of the hair, Since local debt issuance is about to start in November last year the State Council announced a total of up to 4 trillion economic stimulus plan, the financing of related work which has been prepared in full swing. 17 day of the Eleventh National People's Congress Standing Committee Eighteenth long meeting heard about the ability of local governments can apply for long-term bonds, for the solvency of weak local and central government will increase transfer payments this year, the central bond issue size will also hit a new high.
8, Orient Securities: the history of 7 times show the current bull market has not yet made the top - Orient Securities on the history of the bull market for seven statistical and research of leading shares on the market through the top of the anticipation effect, that the market has not yet made the top. Orient Securities, said prices in the previous in most of the leading stock index reached a peak earlier than the average point of view, leading stocks in the index reached 63% market peak in advance, 13% is synchronized with the index peaked, while 23% is lagging behind the index peaked .
[2009-2-18 9:01:15]
While U.S. President Barack Obama signed a $ 787 billion economic stimulus plan, last week introduced a mortgage assistance measures, but investors still can not be eliminated worried about the prospect of the global economy as investors worried about being the bleak economic indicators strengthened. New York in February from January's manufacturing index fell to -34.7 -22.2 again, new lows, that the U.S. economy is further into recession. the world's second largest economy, Japan last quarter annualized GDP fell by 12.7%, the highest since the 1970s, the biggest drop since the oil crisis. banking risk has not been eradicated, declining corporate profits, but also do not see short-term economic revitalization plan effects, concerns and fears enveloped the market, February 17 Wall Street fell sharply, bank stocks down again as the main driving force. blue chips fell 297.81 points, or 3.79%, the Dow Jones index closed at 7552.60 points. Bank of America fell 10.2%, Morgan Chase down 9%,beijing escort, Wells Fargo fell 7% General Motors fell 12.8%. technology stocks fell 63.7%, down 4.15%, the Nasdaq index fell to 1470.66 points. Standard & Poor's 500 index fell 37.6 points, or 4.56%, to close at 789.17 points, fell below the 800 point mark
[2009-2-18 9:02:03]
news today focus on 1
[2009-2-18 9:08:04]
today News focus attention 2
[2009-2-18 9:08:23]
news today focus attention 3
[2009-2-18 9:10:51]
market today can be smoothly rebound and gradually recovered lost ground, to see the vanguard of today's rebound performance
1): Leading shares (600030)
market expectations after two sessions, the market launch of the GEM will make clear, the concept of speculation focused two GEM.
2): Daqing China Branch (000985)
only two weeks after the Spring Festival time, the market price of acetonitrile hit 12 yuan / ton (with packaging) price level, 60,000 yuan higher than the New Year. market rumors Daqing China Branch (000985) acetonitrile profit has soared 10 times, although a smaller proportion of the industry accounted for the main, still worthy of attention.
3): HTC shares: Hongda Group or White Lithium In order to accelerate sipping Kika spodumene ore comprehensive development and utilization, as soon as the resource advantages into economic advantages, to achieve , Kangding county government led by Mayor Xu Jie relevant department heads convened in Chengdu, Ganzi Prefecture of Lithium Co., Ltd. Rong Rong Jie Group shareholder of Guangzhou Investment Co., Ltd., Sichuan Province Mining Ltd, who, Ganzi Tibetan Autonomous Prefecture of Lithium Co., Ltd. is responsible for financial people, person in charge of Sichuan Hongda Group on the financial reach of lithium Ganzi, Sichuan Hongda Group Co., Ltd. to develop and sipping Kika spodumene ore consultations.
active in Kangding County, under the coordination of the lithium industry, financial Group with HTC to develop sipping Kika spodumene ore to reach a consensus, both sides will convene the board of directors, shareholders meeting, in June 2008 proposed reorganization within 30 days and further negotiate the specific program, completed July 30, Ganzi State financial restructuring of Lithium Co., Ltd.. Kangding County will further urged enterprises to speed up corporate restructuring, bigger and stronger advantage to the mining industry.
project development funds now seems not a problem if the lithium prices higher, Ganzi Tibetan Autonomous Prefecture Lithium Industry Co., Ltd. of financial products the amount of lithium mining in Tibet is not lost.
HTC BYD shares of major shareholders and the third largest shareholder in Ganzi, Sichuan Province, Guangzhou financial Jie Li Hui to develop a quarry and surface mining , reserves, second in Asia, whereby estimates, the price should be over Tibet HTC mining.
[2009-2-18 9:14:32]
stock opened today is not optimistic, driven by European and U.S. stocks plunge mass surrounding the stock market fell, and news of last night, calm, not too much positive support, and because a large range of callback yesterday, opened lower today perhaps inevitable, lower support position, 2300 to consider appropriate to do under the rebound, but need control positions, to prevent risks. Today the trend is a key rebound if they can regain lost ground, and hope to continue to attack, if again fell sharply, which can be declared unilateral decisions rally came to an end .--- King
2009-2 - 18 9:23:30]
yesterday, the amount of open market repurchase three months soared to 120 billion yuan, hit a record of its history amid market speculation the central bank move may be intended to short-term liquidity through fine-tuning, moderately rapid to stabilize months of bills financing. In addition, the return is a huge structural adjustment, lax financial situation did not change the current open market to market net invested capital is still the central bank yesterday in the open market choice of 91-day repurchase varieties were now back to operation, the repurchase amount of 120 billion yuan, 2.4 times for the previous operation, yield of 0.96%, flat with the previous operation this week to return the funds efforts to increase the open market is clearly maturing funds a large number of release. Because a lot of votes on the central issue of the year, due this week, central bank bills and purchase amount is the total reached 156.5 billion yuan, an increase of more than 112.5 billion yuan the previous week, for the week of February, the biggest single release of funds so , the open market it is necessary to increase the mobility of capital return in order to avoid over-delivery efforts, one hundred billion repurchase operation do not exceed the amount of market expectations, however, this behavior may offset the usual layer of bears profound meaning this week publicly market return using the tools of 91 repurchase Tengen, which previously used the open market usually 7 and 28 days to adjust these two varieties of short-term liquidity of the retractable, is involved in regulation of one month or more often choose to direct funds issued three month central bank bills. the open market it is necessary to increase efforts to prevent return flow of capital over run. one hundred billion repurchase operation does not exceed the amount of market expectations .2009 overall banking supervision requirements are: to maintain growth, anti-risk , promoting stability the central bank can not be a substantial recovery of mobility, but to maintain stable credit growth.
[2009-2-18 9:31:34]
from the opening situation significantly panic began to spread, low open lower go directly to 50 points, but indicates that opportunity again, such a large gap in funding to the bargain-hunting brought hope, opportunity for short-term rebound in contrast is recommended at this time in no hurry to sell into the decision-making .--- King
[2009 - 2-18 9:40:14]
broader market lower after a slight rebound, then die, but do not be so pessimistic, the market's rebound today also repeated the process, such a large gap does exist covering requirements,beijing massage, but need to set the job force in the stock of many, but a substantial profit pre-disk stock everywhere, so is not very strong desire to move up, the proposed early this market under the stock move up too fast to avoid .--- decision to start Wang [2009-2-18 9:43:03]
Lianhu today many investors do not understand, we can not help but recall some of their last monster. What monster is no reason to rise and fall search volume appears baffling, confusing the reorganization of assets, limit the stock limit order of the day, we recalled today under the 2008 Watch the top ten monster.
[2009-2-18 9:45:34] early pioneer in pre-prompt rebound in China's Daqing Branch first attack, or to open lower in early trading, but limit the impact to go now, now or within the top ten had his plate, making the current king or 7.38% --- [2009-2-18 9:48:56]
information cause the market today there are two full attention, one Wall Street Breakdown 7600-point support, directly test the previous low, and further established the U.S. and European stock market the second probe at the end of the trend. Second, the social security fund run admission, a large number of accounts opened, causing concern about the market for new funds, but the second bottom in the stock market after the U.S. and Europe show trends in the economic outlook remains optimistic, so admission is only the social security fund weaken the market short of energy, does not change the trend of the market to adjust, so on Tuesday morning to undertake the A-share market opened sharply lower than Viagra .---- band King
[2009-2-18 9:57:52]
fact, global stock markets in the 08 to 09 years is not smooth, they fall into a common term, global economic integration so that China can not dance alone, but in 2009 a substantial move up to a lot of life out of the fantasy , fantasy China's economy is completely out of the independent market,shanghai escort, so China's stock market has become the world's strongest stock market in 2009, but the reality is the existence of ruthless, in fact, many from around the fact that we can find, such as reduced overseas orders again and again, employment decline in the number of enterprise crisis and gradually spread, and so on, so when the dream shattered China's economic dominance, we do not need to sigh, when most of the stock has increased by half or even a lot of stock has doubled in the case, we should thank you that we have take only bull .--- global decision-making king
[2009-2-18 10:03:02]
data show a substantial net outflow of capital following the Monday after eight billion yuan, net sales accelerated on Tuesday, the main market out, the net outflow of funds of 101 billion of capital flows from the industry point of view, steel, real estate, chemical industry, ranking among the top three net outflow of funds, but the main funding for the printing industry, ferrous metal mining industry against the five industries City of net buying.'s turbulent market, the main positions in convertible notes were also kept, it is necessary, clutching his dead stock, especially the high level of stock, is likely to take the elevator.
[2009 -2-18 10:04:09]
Shanghai Fu Jen Catholic concept of continuous adverse economic limit is more than the daily limit yesterday after following advantages
, Shanghai Fu Jen Catholic (600,781) limit again, to buck the trend for two consecutive days limit, not not to say that the main very powerful.
two cities is extremely rare as a set of Shanghai local shares, pharmaceutical, venture capital and equity brokerage in one of several low-priced hot spot is definitely worth focusing on. to medicine, wine industry as the leading industry in Fu Jen Pharmaceutical Group to become the company's largest shareholder, the company's main business found reborn changes produced by the textile industry changed to medicine, as health care reform has become the topic of two people most concerned about the Unit also has a deep concept of venture capital, because the shares of Shanghai Shanghai, Fu Jen Catholic heavily Innovation Investment Ltd., and Shanghai is the largest innovation venture capital firm Shenzhen Capital's core subsidiary, so its future launch of the GEM subject is a big hype is worth noting that the company also holds 101.2 million shares of SWS.
--- turning point
[2009-2-18 10:11:26]
[2009 -2-18 10:12:17]
the only auto stocks have become a hot plate, but the proportion of car shares the plate is not great, but the car is not for all the spending power of the public, although the state promote the car to the countryside again, but under the influence of the financial crisis, the impact of drought in the north, farmers friends first thing to do is Wujin own pocket, so change the concept of purely market speculation, for improved performance temporary decision-making in the planning stages nothing .--- King
[2009-2-18 10:19:20]
Chinese mythology monster pk08 10 top ten monster 1
[2009-2-18 10:27:23]
Wednesday continued Tuesday morning market continues to adjust the pattern, the current stocks Pudie, trading volume a bit smaller, off-market funds is not very positive attitude.
plate, the military sector, environmental protection stocks, plates and other traditional medical benefit cap stocks have two strong, significant capital inflows; and early funds are heavy coal, steel and other cyclical industries among the top decliners. does not exclude fund switching hands with the slump in the chip, the layout of the two sessions in advance to benefit shares .---- band King
[2009-2-18 10:33:21]
published yesterday in the board's types of institutions last month, a total of up to 34 new accounts, second only in July last year, since the current bear market hit the main body the second highest monthly number of new accounts, while the main agencies to do more is no doubt the recent market rally an important reason, and these funds into the market is conducive to long-term stock market's long-term development of its leading market will not easily at low tide.
market fell again and hit a new low today, but at this time can be said to sell into the milli- meaningless, up the vast gap that still exists room for a rebound from the disk does not rule out early to see deliberately run space, meant to facilitate the smooth progress of a rebound, but the rebound is still a small number of shares led the gains, so the stock value of the texture and speculation directly determines the intensity .--- rebound king
Tuesday market rumors making the management will check the whereabouts of loan funds in January, leading to panic in market sentiment, the stock market crash.
Wednesday But a routine check, not for the stock market.
the peak of bank lending, but this time, the CBRC will also pay close attention to this, about the same time will send personnel to conduct research throughout the country, this is a routine activity.
rumor from a speed point of view of management, management deep layer of the stock market will want to take a good, warm air policy is still a turning point for the market to defend .----
[2009-2-18 10:47:56]
up the process yesterday, I said, When the market was close to the meteoric rise of the time, but did not see the super-large-cap stocks the movement, in the most need them, they like to reach an agreement with the British aristocracy in Ireland, ruthless betrayal of Wallace (see movie: Brave heart), so the broader market yesterday, thousands of miles a vent, with market shares of the relentless retreat is directly related to large-cap stocks again today to play such a role, intraday stock market is doing much to drop the main round of price-cap stocks smallest gain, profit at least, do not mind a grievance? but not super-large-cap stocks intraday stock movement that greatly reduced our confidence .--- making bargain-hunting king
[2009-2-18 10:49:56] Chinese mythology monster pk08 10 top ten monster 2
[2009-2-18 11:00:42]
prompt rebound in early trading premarket vanguard of the two leading stock began to fight back, following the morning Daqing China Division after the first attack, leading shares in the rest of the morning after the attack, the current began to rise rapidly, currently close to 5 points in early trading was opened down 3 points, amplitude up to 8 points .--- King
decision [2009-2-18 11:03:33]
in fact a rebound in the last vanguard of HTC shares open lower as 4 points in early trading, and now rose a point, the actual increase has reached 5%, in today's of the stock market, the early performance of these stocks should be said that decision is fully capable of compliance --- King
[2009-2-18 11:06:01]
China Development and Reform Commission official said on Tuesday that the yuan might depreciate to 7 yuan nearby, causing the RMB exchange rate volatility in overseas markets, analysts believe that the remarks about to visit with U.S. Secretary of State Hillary Clinton events, perhaps the only game in front of the Sino-US dialogue. Since the international financial crisis, the international trade The problem has increasingly become the main topic of concern to all nations, especially in the international market is highly dependent on two big countries on this issue is very sensitive to this the fourth quarter of 2008 from Japan, GDP fell 12% level (since 1974 the sharpest decline since a) you can see, export-oriented economies in this crisis can not be ignored by the trauma, although China's official figures are not so powerful, but we all know that the official figures are unreliable In fact, how much our country has been traumatized, it can not be underestimated
[2009-2-18 11:06:22]
In fact, the international trade of the two issues, one is the issue of trade protectionism, but also one is the exchange rate. Although the question of trade protectionism in export-oriented economies, Japan and other hard object, but that is bickering, people do not dump you, so shouting is useless now that we use in addition to the exchange rate means a certain extent, make up vulnerable than we basically had no choice but this is my official visit to China at the eve of Clinton's remarks depreciation purposes, this is a warning to the United States, if your trade protectionism is not revoked, then the I let the devaluation, but this warning to the United States have much effect, and for now, the effect is probably very little, Obama's economic policies we have analyzed many times, the typical trade conservatives, so protectionism is certainly is to implement, so China's foreign trade hit certainly continue, and my addition to the devaluation to stimulate exports no other way, but the devaluation will lead to hot money outflow, and thus an adverse investment market, a rebound of A shares will constitute a very a big impact, so late that we should pay attention to, and if the yuan started to fall, then A shares will rebound further narrowing the space
[2009-2-18 11:12:56]
two days, Millions of Young is inspired the confidence of many investors, investor confidence in a market ready to go all the time, but suffered a blow today, the biggest decline in 2009 to allow investors to different degrees of damage. how it was, There are very interesting article, called [2009-2-18 11:16:26]
alert! so do not hold the stock software already
decisions king of the stock in the 16 to make a comprehensive diagnosis, the face of such market price You really feel at ease in the hands gripping the stock it? fell today, tomorrow? day after tomorrow? when out? when into? you really know what?
[2009-2-18 11:27:22 ]
rebound in early trading was once again rejected, depressed market rebound is very obvious, to keep space waiting for the afternoon rally, perhaps the main consideration is that the purpose is not necessary at this location investors sell into the gap in the objective existence of the decision market rebound at any time, automobiles, machinery, new energy, the concept of stocks such as futures rebound are likely to become the main course,the United States, we are also gearing up for a rebound vanguard, perhaps the performance of individual stocks at the time in the morning, let the big grind of violent making some of it .--- King
[2009-2-18 11:29:03]
Chinese mythology monster pk08 10 top ten monster 4
[2009-2-18 11:33 : 32]
market slump in early trading, the lowest point of the final full-day closing, but here we should not blindly sell into the time yesterday suggesting the risk is not considered to lighten up, but here is clearly unwise to sell into the blind, has been Watch to watch our friends should know that we have been asked the day before yesterday, only three positions into while here today should not blind panic and run away, we see the disk space seems quite down to wait for higher meaning, and 600,028 Chinese Sinopec may be able to take the lead in stabilizing temporarily hold large-cap stocks fell heavyweight trucks, although the intensity of the afternoon market rebound we do not expect, but as long as a stable market, stocks will have a grand debut performance time, we continue to try to be at decision-making king .---
[2009-2-18 13:06:22]
midday market opened down inertia, but the sharp sell into action to stop, at what can not rebound, the fund is still the key to Awkwardness, but the disk to see everyone a little discouraged, from the technical analysis, effective today, if there is no rebound, and that the rise in short-term market strength becomes very limited, the introduction of new policies for the country's expectations will be unprecedented, but now it is not too much policy can out from the technical analysis, the individual adjustment of the limit that the market in 2180 points, but not today be able to, but the market's most powerful decision support point of view .--- King
[2009-2 - 18 13:12:59]
from a purely technical point of view, the gap left by today, if that day will be filled then the outlook is very short adjustment time, but if leaving the gap, then the afternoon will be time to adjust will be extended unless there are special policy incentives. Then on the 10th line of the competition will become intense, and 2300 points accumulated over a number of pre-lock-plate coupled with profit-taking, long a substantial upside to meet resistance, as Mencius said, ; to Shi Shi is, only then can only gradually improved, our long-term bullish on the Chinese stock market, but need to respond flexibly to the bottom of the shock.
[2009-2-18 13:13:11]
two places being present, two of the country will also be held soon, it seems the market has market began to hope the two of course there are stock market situation. Chen Dong Qi said: point in time should be in May or October. two can boost market confidence, investors will evolve? everyone to predict it
[2009-2-18 13:14:23]
although , the past two days stock everywhere green, environmentally friendly enough, but short-lived fad or no less than give people (such as most people can put down, the stock market tend to have a play). In order to love the movie, when investors forget entertainment stocks, especially stocks and the introduction of several film and television. while stocks edge entertainment, pleasure in looking forward to stock up.
This is probably the most famous film a stock, but to be honest, Entertainment sex is really not ye. that is the early 1990s, the mainland stock market, starring Pan Hong. if there is Johnny?
, Hong Kong drama, starring Adam Cheng and Lau Ching Wan. the story well, said the Hong Kong stock market, and two decades of love and hate, worth a visit, but if the stock market not writer on the line, so some illogical plot, whereby stocks, will lose no doubt. looked for several years , always remember that such a lens, Johnny worked as a laborer earned money each, to buy shares on the dash, and then stare nervous market, and finally disappointed. giving the impression is not in the investment, as pressure in the size of Macau casino , Oh.
Mainland film drama, the novel I read, the content in general, investors do not know why the election this shock, in fact, and fiction and a lot of stock-related, but I heard that TV ratings okay.
hit television some time ago, her friends boast play nice and long, though mostly about real estate, but there are also related to stock and index the content, are also considered a bar. sincerely recommend .--- Mulan
[2009-2-18 13:22:55]
read the comments Hua Mulan is really quite a lot of emotion, when I also fascinated by the era of big I remember at that time of the last century is the age thing, it can be said at that time wholly unknown to the Chinese stock market is imperfect, but also at that time his TV started by this fascination with the stock market, the time flashed by, among ten playing command , but the time never gave me the deepest inspiration, such as interest on the stock market, such as Vivian's pure, when you see the stock up and down mood, are not forgotten. (PS: the prevailing note is that Hong Kong's stock index, and not a specific stock, and now the Chinese market still no this product, stock index futures has not yet launched, in 2000 launched the era sequel, but never making the first king of classic ).---
[2009-2-18 13 : 27:19]
market hesitated for a long time the ultimate choice or Powei down 2 points with 2:30 is a change set time, but at this time began to sell into the rally today indicates that the intensity is limited, basic income has been negative a foregone conclusion, large-cap stocks no action, although the stock from the morning to drop between now not large, but the blow to the confidence of investors is the key, and when it can bounce a few days after this week, how is the set policy, Wang stressed .---
[2009-2-18 13:28:47]
Chinese mythology monster pk08 10 top ten monster 5
[2009-2-18 13:41: 07]
remember I wrote an article called The stock rose rallies to lighten up everybody, control risk.
[2009-2-18 13:49:07]
market between two points close to the gradual rebound trend, but today we can not rebound height expect, the only distinguish between the stock is to say, obviously defensive rebound in the stock in the intensity was great, early today, before we say the vanguard of the three rebound under pressure from the market one day, but the decline is far less than the market, and most now ...

In the often desperate and expectations, investors have been waiting for something, and not introduced, the market has been showing a decline and then rebound bounced down the situation, in which case the factors behind what is it? We recognize that in fact this happens the essence of the pattern of China's capital market is facing a fundamental game change. This game pattern is broken, there is the size of the sell-off of non-marked by the Chinese Ping refinancing Although size of the non-lifting of the ban, these point of view, the stock market fell sharply due to funding shortages, but in fact the current shortage of funds does not, first, A-share market has never lacked for money, lack of profitability effect is to attract capital, household savings deposits hit record highs, In the high inflation environment and lack of investment channels, the stock market is a low threshold, the more visible benefits ideal investment goods, so a profit if the stock market effect, there will be a steady stream of capital inflows. Second, foreign investment impact, although last year's fourth quarter until January of this year, China is a net outflow of hot money, but the first two months this year, a significant increase in FDI and the rapid appreciation immediately broke 7, these signs reflect the inflow of hot money trend is not reversal will occur.
Therefore, capital and short-term pressures, although the direct cause of stock decline, but will not cause panic in the market, causing panic to sell shares in circulation is brought into the pattern of the game. We all know a lot size of non-shareholders is extremely low cost, large-scale influx of these low-priced chips market, not only disrupted the market cost of the original system, making many important support vulnerable, but more importantly, the size of the non-shareholders After the lifting of the ban to enter the market to sell only one operation, they will not buy the stock. This coupled with a very low cost way to sell stock will inevitably result in the decline, while the index's decline is caused by a strategic placement of shareholders, excluding costs to sell (such as China Pacific Insurance's break),beijing escort, unfortunately at this time remained silent attitude of management, the next consequence is the venue agency became pessimistic, in this context, all parties involved are forced into the current a passive situation, because all lose in a market environment, loss of function of the stock market financing, this would be to change the policy questions and share research.
market adjusted to the current location,shanghai massage, the capital market is facing a very critical market the critical point, the performance of the whole input pattern has begun to reverse this situation only one day,mainly from the extremely liberal, investor confidence, the Chinese economic confidence in China's capital market, the expected change in investor psychology. that management should take the initiative at this time withdraw from the passive situation in through the appropriate policies to prevent the emergence of the plight of all lost, or injured more than funds,shanghai escort, ordinary investors, but also including the management, even the Chinese economy.
from those angles for improved investor confidence to improve their expectations,beijing massage, I think we should first consider what investors fear in the stock market survey on the Xinhua Web to enhance investor confidence initiatives mainly reflected in three aspects, first, the stamp duty policy adjustment, the second, financing financial securities and stock index futures by a third the size of non-investment behavior for the limit and I think the Government to consider the perspective of the problem is more likely to think from a strategic point of view, such as the promotion of macroeconomic development, establish and improve an open and fair and transparent market trading system and so to promote capital market development, there is no doubt that these are the correct development of ideas and methods, but suffer in the current market investor psychology in the context of the larger fight to improve the confidence of investors from the more consider the concerns of investors, angles, solve the problem of investor confidence in capital entering.

1 Introduction
1.1 retail industry history of the evolution
known retail formats in general has experienced four major revolution, that department stores, chain supermarkets, shopping centers and non-store sales. The evolution of this format is not accidental or unfounded, but the retail industry to adapt to socio-economic and cultural and technical development of the product, such as department stores to adapt to the emergence of a large number of Western industrial revolution, mass production and sales requirements of the urbanization process arising from the supermarket chain is to adapt to business reduce costs, facilitate the demands of the customer, the shopping center is the city hollowed out, must reflect suburbanization, no shop is selling electronic technology and information technology in the flow of the extension collar city should be said, every retail formats times innovations to better meet the interests and needs of consumers, to better promote the development of industrial production.
see from the history of the development of retail, commercial retail formats mainly by consumer demand and industrial production of two forces constraints in the supply of power is greater than the spending power of a seller's market, and who meet the requirements of industrial production, will survive the development of circulation at this time only next, especially in today's people's material needs have been relatively satisfied, the more excess supply on the case, although the needs of enterprise vitality. At this point the retail industry has not only a play this role, who can be developed, which we know today must have a retail concept.
the same time, deal with the current Western dazzling retail formats, we can not blindly copy. different countries have different productivity level of development, consumption habits and psychology, even as the forms in different countries and regions also showed a different mode of development, speed and results development of a local retail, local ground conditions must be combined. and , a format's success and establishment must have its internal rules and characteristics to grasp the essence, as I used to, is a wise choice.
body type fast growth from emergence to maturity experienced development time (years) is currently in phase in the life cycle stage
grocery 1800-1840100 recession / has disappeared
single specialty 1820-1840100 1860-194080 maturity maturity
department store mail order store 1915-195050 maturity
aggregators maturity
discount store 1920-193050 1955-197520 maturity
convenient supermarket 1935-196535 maturity / decline
Shopping 1950-196540 1930-195040 store associates
maturity maturity maturity

fast-food restaurants 1960-197515 1975-198510 growth
senior store retail warehouse 1970 - 198,010 computer-controlled maturity
maturity
store 1980-19855 1980-19855 e-supermarket retail price less than the maturity
vendor sales (direct sales) 1980--?? growth post large commercial buildings 1985 -?? growth
warehouse club sales of 1985 -?? growth of large supermarkets late
American 1986 -?? growth
Electronic Shopping 1990 -?? growth 1.2 retail trends
? international retail trends
With the social development of productivity, scientific and technological progress, people's individual consumer psychology, social types and quantities of products more and more order these products at the right time through the appropriate way to reach the target population of the hands, the industry as a commercial mm connecting production and consumption of the circulation, its own form of constantly updated, ever-changing sales methods are these changes The first direct effect on the final part of the circulation of goods mm retail, so retail will inevitably become the most competitive in the circulation of a ring. Looking at the history of the world development trend of retail point of view, 60 years, the retail industry to take comprehensive operation, therefore, department stores, large retail and high forces; 70 years, the retail stage of development is to enter the professional, specialized stores, chain stores, supermarkets, convenience stores, self-center and other formats have household goods development; into the 1980s, large shopping centers and other developed countries in the world within the business rise; the late 1990s in the direction of business conditions of subdivision development, single-product stores, museum themes of life, non-store sales, a large suburban stores, direct sales and home shopping place of origin and other new retail formats have emerged. to our country is located on the Asian point of view, in recent years as rapid economic leap in the development of the retail industry is undergoing enormous changes, mainly in the following areas:
b Trend: Retail business market is highly centralized, large-scale market share from the point of view
retail in Asia in recent years there has been a considerable degree of concentration, a few large retailers control the local market, a monopolistic market share in the meaning in other words, the Asia-Pacific retail area from the perspective of industrial economics, the market share calculations based on the absolute concentration of market indicators already at a very high degree of CRn .1997 Hong Kong retail sales in the top 5 (CR5) has reached total sales of 70%, Singapore and Taiwan over the same period more than 35% of the CR5, this may be related with the area of ​​the region, but these three countries and regions, the development of the retail level, the highly concentrated retail market is the Asia-Pacific regional retail development trend.
another look at the measure of the level of a country the size of an important indicator of retail mm average retail outlets covered the number of consumers: a single store in Japan in 1996 covering the first number of the highest in the Asia-Pacific region , to 1560 people, basically covering the same period China's six times the amount of 250 people strong as we all know, Japan's retail shopping environment in the global reputation, which the size of its retail business are inseparable.
b Trends : advantages gradually weakened traditional retail forms, new forms of booming retail
First, the overall form of traditional retailing in Asia Pacific countries and regions are still in a dominant position, the number of traditional retail outlets all over 50% of the total number of local retail outlets. 1996 statistics show that in Asian countries, the Chinese traditional grocery retail (non-automatic type supermarkets, convenience stores) the corresponding number of the highest proportion, 99.8%; lowest in Singapore more than half of the corresponding data for the 68% Second, although the traditional retailing still accounts for a large share, can not be ignored is automatically supermarkets, convenience stores, retail stores are represented by the rise of emerging from the 1996 Hong Kong supermarkets, convenience stores, several changes in the relevant statistical data, 1992 to 1996, supermarkets, convenience stores increased by 25% and 26%, compared to traditional grocery stores than the original 19 percent reduction can be seen, the traditional retail stores are gradually replaced by new, its advantage is gradually diminished.
b Three: The large, very large discount stores and warehouse stores
rapid increase in recent years, Asian countries and regions of large, discount stores and warehouse stores large amount of increasing According to the data, to 1997, Taiwan, Thailand and South Korea's large, very large discount stores, warehouse stores followed by the number of the top three Asia-Pacific region, including Taiwan and Thailand 69, Korea 60. In Taiwan, from 1976 1-1997 69 years, there sixty-seven average large discount stores, warehouse stores opened, taking into account the local retail market in Taiwan, saturation, so the pace of development only with the development efforts. to Carrefour, for example, the French domestic market is already saturated, intense competition, the French government in order to protect the traditional small and medium sized retail businesses, to develop a strict limit opening of large retail stores and regulations, stipulates that those who voted to build a large retail store area of ​​more than 300 square m (maximum of 1,000 square meters) of large retail stores, go through the 7-member Committee for approval of commercial facilities. the whole law of large investment to build the supermarket in 1995 dropped to 12 in 1996 7, 1997 of six, or even a 1998 vote did not approve the construction of overseas sales is becoming a major source of overall sales of Carrefour the other hand, in order to compete with Wal-Mart, the United States, to open up and seize the vast Asian market, Carrefour is also a number of European cross-border retail business where the purpose of the Asia-Pacific market.
? domestic retail trends
China as an important part of the Asia-Pacific region, its retail and other countries and regions have a certain gap, However, geographically the same cultural background, the development direction of China's retail industry is not deviate from the overall trend in the entire Asia Pacific region. In fact, some of China's frontier cities, has been active in the retail business in the form of innovation, and strive to change. b retailing formats revolution the horizon
1. Retailing diversified. manifested in the past has broken the traditional business mode format (department store) the pattern of world domination, while the emergence of a variety of new formats not only located in the coastal City of emerging industries: supermarkets, chain stores, warehouse stores, discount stores, specialty store, retail stores, etc. have been involved in the battlefield, even in underdeveloped areas located in the central and western inland cities, some businesses will lead the new retail units into battle.
2. diversified market position of traditional formats. reflected in the traditional department store format mm has changed its past non-market segmentation, market positioning without the state, the emergence of market positioning of the diverse tendencies.
3. showing mercy to rationalize space Retailing trends, manifested in a variety of retail formats in the space at the mercy of the city has changed the past center of the state, and a br> 4. the concept of consumer-based marketing technology. The essence of retail formats revolutionary marketing concept of revolutionary change. specifically consumer-based philosophy that truly set this trend in the retail sector of the market from a seller a buyer's market this particular potential socio-economic environment should be a reflection of Sunchon.
? future development: a vigorous retail formats revolutionary era
perception of reality-based, according to the law of development of things, analysis and prospects, we can clearly be expected to:
b new competition format will be more intense, after a phase of market competition will be excellent in retention after the retreat Liezhe scene. I said before, for various reasons, many domestic capital are very optimistic about the shopping malls, supermarkets, chain stores and other emerging formats, which are bound to the future of domestic capital position of major contention of this block fighting, while foreign capital in the face of this mysterious 96O million square kilometers of land to be developed, the world's total population of nearly l / 4 of the broad market space, I believe, as the domestic market and international market, docking, foreign capital into the new format retail development momentum will be more violent. With their strong financial trend, especially quite a wealth of experience, will become strong competitors on the domestic threat reason to believe that the future of the new industry will become more competitive.
b mm another new industry will be rapid development of shopping centers today shopping center model has been developed in the widely used around the world In some developed countries, it is a country's economic development an important part of the essential and we believe that the future economic growth in China's growth process, the mall will be in the retail industry occupies an important position This is because: As China's economy to grow,This is simply not going to happen, raising the level of consumption, leisure and shopping combined support points. cities showed a strong commercial property development trend now some of the great vision and considerable strength in the real estate involved in the development of commercial properties, has been gradually introduced in the shopping center business and management, while the shopping center If you do not have the strength of the construction business and real estate management professional with considerable commercial operating company's involvement is difficult to imagine.
b the survival of traditional department stores will be more difficult from a global perspective, after the department store in a few After decades of brilliant, has entered its recession, which of course mainly due to the economy to grow as society and with this richer market with a variety of competitive and operational efficiency of the rise of new retail formats, development, We believe this trend will show in the future China is currently China's most state-owned department stores, especially department stores have gradually felt the pressure to survive, but this is still only the beginning, the future survival will be more difficult. regardless of other factors aside, a single New retail formats on the rapid development of the quality of their produce strong enough to threaten;
b seems equally important to supermarkets, hypermarkets represented by large-scale retail store just to meet this demand change.
now, Shanghai foreign investment has been more than 80 large retail stores, commercial sales accounted for annual sales of Shanghai 8% of the total, and there is an increasing trend to continue these large-scale European retailer to open retail stores in Shanghai, forming a Large
run from the Shanghai area in recent years, foreign large-scale supermarkets, hypermarkets point of view, occupies over 5,000 square meters, multi-layered structure of a few, and there is an increasing trend to continue, including Hualian, Lianhua and agribusiness, including supermarket chains have also set up state-owned supermarkets, although the shopping environment and management of large supermarket with a group of foreign investors have a certain gap, but the scale of the trend is unchanged.
B. over the whole
First, the product category is complete. daily small household appliances, major household appliances to large, in today's supermarkets are available. Second, the placing of a scientific category. types of goods growth, placed on the shelves of a higher demand, just shopping guide identifies, plan a special shopping guide large retail supermarkets currently an important part of its three types of related services and now Shanghai's various large supermarkets, hypermarkets, are to provide consumers a convenient casual dining and entertainment services to consumers shopping behavior of those who bring considerable convenience.
C. Value
large supermarkets, hypermarkets channel is characterized as the purchase, the price advantage is easy to show in front of consumers, but the homogeneity of the supply channel nature of the price advantage is not sufficient to distinguish it from other companies on the same market in the current highly competitive retail market in Shanghai, how to make the value of additional services, a new trend. regular, direct to consumers of the DM, a member of the customer, and even fixed the free shuttle, a variety of premium services to make their own business in the larger geographic coverage area, but also covers the more important, broader area of ​​consumer psychology.
b professional characteristics of commercial and retail chain
as living standards improve, in order to meet the growing consumer demand segments, specializing in the retail industry, there a certain type of retail stores is inevitable. Shanghai area retail businesses are taking a professional specialization, features, service chain development path.
glasses prepared by industry, for example, Japanese Three Cities form covering a large range in Shanghai. for foreign-funded retail enterprises in the field challenges to Wuliangcai company on behalf of Shanghai local specialty retailers are actively developing a chain operation characteristics of the road. Wuliangcai company to maintain company some results.
b theme of the establishment of district
Today, the traditional retail business in Shanghai department stores are suffering from various forms of mm, in particular large-scale supermarkets,beijing massage, hypermarkets impact. a single department store is difficult to In such an environment for their development.
Accordingly, if the street is located close to the same circle connected to several department stores, the endowed with a certain theme, accompanied by the appropriate culture to form a , so that commercial street brand, with its consequent effect on Shanghai's retail business is a very positive and effective, for example, Nanjing Road Pedestrian Street is the function-based tourism, led the entire circle of the various retail department store sales growth; Sichuan North Road, within its geographical area of ​​professional specialty stores in series to form a professional characteristics of a street, the price advantage of a strong business district as a whole introduced; Huaihai Road Commercial Street and if the high-grade, high-priced features, is the first choice of fashion shopping.
2 Introduction
2.1 shopping district shopping district shopping district
meaning, refers to the store to its location as the center, along a certain direction and distance extension, the radiation range to attract customers, simply, is to store the scope of customers living in the region, whether large or small mall stores, their sales are always a certain geographic range and this range is the geographic center of the mall, to the surrounding radiation may come to the store to buy the consumers place of residence.
retail sales activities usually have a certain geographic boundaries, that have relatively stable business district. different shops as area, scale, mode of operation, business types, the different operating conditions, making the district scale, there is a big difference between district shape. Similarly, a retail store at different times by different factors operating interference and influence, the district has not set in stone, when the large size of a small shopping district.
shopping department store location analysis is a major step and an important foundation work at the mall site, district must first clear the scope of understanding of clients, to determine the scope of business to assess the operational efficiency, and then determine the approximate location and store size.
2.2 composition
shopping district generally consists of three parts, namely the main ring, sub-ring, side ring.
? main ring
main ring where the main business district, also known as the first shopping district, is the area closest to the store in the main shopping district, the consumer is most convenient to the store , under normal circumstances, department stores, 65% of customers from the main shopping district in the main shopping district, customers in the high density of population, the average purchase amount per customer is highest, the business district rarely district with other types of store overlap, otherwise prone to excessive competition. In general, the core business district of small shops within 0.8 km, customers walk to stores within 10 minutes; large shopping malls within 5 miles of the core business district or less, regardless of transport to shops, not more than 20 minutes.
? second circle that is a secondary business district
second circle, also known as the second district, is located outside the main shopping area of ​​secondary In this area, customers are more scattered, but the consumer to buy goods is also more convenient to shop, gathered in the secondary shopping district about 25% of department store customers. In general, the small shops in secondary shopping district 1.5 kilometers, customers walk to stores within 20 minutes; large shopping malls in secondary business district 8 kilometers, regardless of transport to shops, an average of no more than 40 minutes.
? side edge ring that circles
edge of the district, also known as the third district, is located in the secondary shopping area outside in the edge of the shopping district, scattered with about 10% of department store customers, consumers in the region to purchase goods in stores inconvenient. In general, the edge of a small shop in the 1.5 km away district, customers walk to shops in 20 minutes or more; large shopping district at 8 km away from the edge, regardless of transport to store an average of 40 minutes .
district affected by various factors in its scope and form of state will be constantly changing, under normal circumstances, the performance of multi-district forms for a variety of irregular polygonal, for ease of analysis, generally Circle in the abstract to the store as the center outward as the center of ring-type radiation.
2.3 Area Analysis
Area Analysis refers to the business district of the composition, characteristics and impact of district-scale changes in a variety of factors undertake a comprehensive study in terms of shopping malls, business district analysis is important and it helps to select the shop scientific enterprise, in line with the principles set site conditions, determine the appropriate site location is located; help companies develop marketing objectives, clear the mall which is the basic customer base and potential customer base, expanding the scope of business district; help companies effectively market competition in the passenger within the control district sources and types of passenger traffic on the basis of conduct targeted marketing.
? Area Analysis of the need
b Area Analysis is the basis for department stores and other reasonable location in the choice of working
mall shop, always strive to larger target market, to attract more targeted customers, which would first need a clear business district range operators to understand the distribution of population within the district and the market, non-market factors relevant information, on this basis, the operating efficiency of the assessment to measure the use value of the shop, according to the basic principles of site design, selection of appropriate locations, to make shopping, shop, operating conditions, coordinated integration, and create business advantage.
b department store shopping is a competition analysis business strategy is based on the premise
in the increasingly fierce market competition, price competition is only one means, but also very limited, and department stores to gain advantage in the competition, has been widely adopted means of non-price competition, such as improving store image, the corporate image design and planning, improve after-sales service, etc. These operators are required by district analysis,beijing escort, source control and passenger passenger type, understand the characteristics of the different needs of the customer to take a competitive business strategy, investment the customer likes, to win the trust of customers, that is to gain competitive advantage.
b Area Analysis department stores to develop marketing strategy is an important condition for
department store business policy, strategy development or adjustment, always within the district based on the status of various environmental factors and trends by district analysis, which can help the operators to clear the basic customer base is our restaurant, which is a potential customer base, and strive to maintain the same basic customer base, focus on attract potential customer base, to develop marketing strategy, continue to extend business reach, expanding the scope of business district, increase market share.
b Area Analysis department store is an important means to reduce the amount of funds used to operate a major department store
characterized by more working capital, cash flow requirements fast. department store the size scale of operation by the constraints of district, district scale with the business environment will change, when the district size shrinks, the department store scale of operation remains the same, it may lead part of the business of tying up working capital, cash flow impact of the speed and reduce the financial profit.
? Area Analysis of factors should be considered the number and characteristics of the population
b including the number of resident population, working population, the past population, the number of residents in households and enterprises, and the corresponding population age, gender, occupation and income level as composition.
b
construction conditions, including public transport, electrical conditions, communications equipment, financial institutions and other department stores for the convenience of marketing.
b
analysis of regional development and social factors planning, public facilities (parks, public sports venues, theaters, exhibition halls), and the region the humanities, whether it helps the development of department stores.
b
potential for commercial development potential and existing shopping centers including the purchase of the operating conditions of these two factors is the most direct factor affecting department store in the business development potential analysis, the district should calculate the saturation region, in order to understand this region is too much or less than the same industry in the district in areas of low saturation to build stores, their likelihood of success must exceed the district saturation high areas.
? factors affecting the size of the business district
b department store department store of its own characteristics
the district is not only distinguished from other shopping malls and stores, and even with the department store, located in the same area, due to their different characteristics, scope district differ, resulting in this difference of factors: the store's image and reputation, quality of service advantages and disadvantages, commodity management features, price level, and differences in physical facilities, etc. The two stores operating such goods even at a region with the same street, their attractiveness to customers will vary, accordingly, inconsistent scale shopping district. those operating flexibility, range of goods good service, consumers establish a good image of the store, loop size is relatively high compared with other industry would be large stores.
b department store department store because of their scale of operation
different scale, district Size is not the same. In general, large scale stores, variety varieties, attracting a large range of customers, but because of the larger, the more variety, more extensive marketing of the radiation zone, the radius of the circle the greater should be noted that the district is always limited, not unlimited expansion.
b department store types of goods
business district the size of its department store business is department-specific types of goods type of store merchandise business district of its size have a major impact. In general, the daily operation of the main department stores, most of its business district to the main business district (first district) based, and to operate high-end big-ticket consumer durables-based department store, the shopping district of the edges can be extended to 12 km.
b
traffic transportation situation and geographical conditions that affect the size of the business district and a major factor in the transportation area stores, businesses will therefore expand the scale, otherwise limit the extension of shopping district. natural and man-made geographical barriers such as mountains, rivers,shanghai escort, railways and highways, will be ruthlessly truncated district boundaries, a district scale of tremendous obstacles. where the department store in the shopping district and the district as defined in the analysis, taking into account the impact of the customer to store traffic conditions, such as street accessibility, bus operating conditions, transport facilities and management measures and other factors, to maximize business district, so that department stores have a wider coverage and a wider group of services.
b competitors competing location
the greater the distance between the store, the greater their respective district. If potential customers living in between two shops in the same industry, each part of the store will attract potential customers, respectively, resulting in passenger traffic dispersion, businesses will therefore shrink, but with this competing store located adjacent to the customer because there are more more choice and be attracted, the district but will be expanded due to competition, according to the expert study, two types of department stores with 1.5 kilometers away, 8 kilometers, the competition for customers is fierce, two will reduce the store's business district, only a small part of the joint district. two of the same type of department store distance is 8 km away, with the expansion of distance, level of competition will gradually weaken, and even form their own district.
b department store department store promotions of the business district
size should of course be subject to a number of objective factors and constraints, but it is by no means fixed, department store operator's subjective effort change will also affect the district , such as department stores through advertising, public relations activities, as well as a wide range of personal selling and sales promotion activities, expanding visibility, influence and attract more customers are attracted to patronize the marginal district, along with the size of the store's business district will suddenly expand.
b
consumer liquidity as consumers of liquidity growth, the source of customers to patronize the store will be more extensive, the edge will therefore expand the business district, shops, the scale of the entire business district retail
3 Format description
3.1 format refers to the concept of
retail goods or services to be provided with the goods sold directly to end-consumer sales activities engaged in retail activities, the basic unit and the specific location of shops, and stores based on sales distinguish different forms and different business forms, namely retail formats in recent years by the international business development trends, retail store format has undergone a drastic change in form and appear diversification and segmentation trend, despite the current world The definition of retail formats vary by as focus, but usually that is the format retail customer base to identify the goods and services to determine the concrete form, format retail activities in a specific form. Popular understand format that is refers to the retail stores sell, sell sell what and how the specific form of management.
present, the theoretical study of the retailer sector lags behind the reality, not only theorists understanding of the retail formats, there are still considerable differences, and with domestic commercial departments of the format specifications are not consistent with advice, but in theory no matter how controversial, in fact, a variety of new industry has been developing since the early 1990s introduced a strong momentum in supermarkets, specialty stores, specialty stores, convenience shops springing up on our traditional department store format in the form of the single monomer and many shops (independent shops) constitute a powerful impact on the trend.
1998, the government statistical system in the beginning of trade statistics report additional statistics retail formats, As a pilot table, given the current degree of development of a variety of formats, as well as the State Internal Trade Bureau Retailing classification of the standard management guidance, scientific and operational in accordance with the principle of combining,shanghai massage, we take the definition of a large retail formats Most experts view that: Retailing is the retail business to meet different consumer needs and the formation of different business forms. The concept includes two aspects: First, determine the target market; Second, the specific business strategy, including: location, size, product strategy, pricing strategy, store facilities, service methods.
3.2 format classification
? international retail formats on the general classification
for the classification of retail formats, based on current major international retail location, scale, target customers, product mix, shop facilities, mode of operation, hours of operation, services, pricing strategies to determine the United States to be divided into retail stores: department stores, supermarkets, discount stores, general merchandise stores, clothing stores, warehouse clubs, drugstores, convenience stores, grocery stores and other nine categories; Japan, the classification of retail formats and the United States is basically the same, but adds vending machines, mail order and non-store sales in the form of course , the same categories of the forms, can be further subdivided into more specific form of the forms, such as supermarkets, food can be further subdivided into supermarkets and supermarkets, which should be based on different research contents. In fact, the international capital ...

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